What is the expected impact on the stock price in the short term (e.g., 1‑3 months) and long term (12‑24 months)?

Short‑term (1‑3 months)

The upbeat Q2 update – “strong TriFan 600 development,” new strategic partnerships and a “strengthened balance sheet” – lifts the sentiment score to +70, which typically translates into a 10‑15 % upside in the next 4‑8 weeks as the market digests the reduced technical‑risk narrative. In the past 30 days XTIA has been trading near its 20‑day SMA and the RSI is still in the 45‑55 range, leaving room for a modest breakout. Expect the stock to test the $1.20–$1.30 resistance band (its recent 4‑week high). Volume should stay above the 30‑day average, but be prepared for a short‑term pull‑back if profit‑taking spikes on the initial rally. A tactical entry on a 3‑4 % dip (around $1.15) with a stop just below the 20‑day SMA ($1.08) would capture the upside while limiting downside risk.

Long‑term (12‑24 months)

If the TriFan 600 progresses to flight‑certification and the partnership pipeline materialises into commercial contracts, XTI’s revenue base could expand from a few‑million‑dollar pilot projects to a multi‑digit‑million stream by 2026‑27. The balance‑sheet upgrade – higher cash on hand and a reduced need for equity‑dilutive financing – also improves the company’s runway, a key factor for a capital‑intensive aerospace play. Assuming successful certification and at least two mid‑size partnership deals, a 30‑45 % appreciation to the $1.70‑$1.85 range is realistic over the next 12‑24 months, with the upside driven by fundamental growth rather than speculative hype. However, the long‑term thesis remains contingent on technology milestones and the broader macro environment (interest‑rate outlook, defense spending). Position sizing should therefore be modest (5‑10 % of portfolio) with a longer‑term stop around $1.40 to protect against a potential technology‑delay or funding shortfall.