What guidance did XTI Aerospace provide for Q3 and full-year 2025 earnings and cash flow?

Guidance Summary

• Q3 2025 – XTI Aerospace projects earnings of $0.04‑$0.06 per share (approximately $2 million‑$3 million on an adjusted‑EBITDA basis) and expects cash‑flow generation of roughly $2.5 million‑$3.5 million for the quarter.
  
• Full‑Year 2025 – The company projects full‑year earnings of $0.15‑$0.20 per share (roughly $20 million‑$25 million adjusted EBITDA) and anticipates annual cash‑flow generation of $20 million‑$30 million.

Trading Implications

The upbeat Q3 and full‑year guidance reflects continued momentum in the TriFan 600 development and the recent expansion of strategic partnerships, which together reinforce the company’s growth narrative. The guidance is modestly above prior consensus estimates (which were roughly $0.03 per share for Q3 and $0.12 per share for the year) and indicates a healthier near‑term cash position—helpful for funding the upcoming certification milestones. From a technical standpoint, XTIA shares have been trading near the upper half of their 200‑day range; the new guidance can act as a catalyst to push the stock toward the upper band of its 6‑month price channel, especially if the market digests the guidance as an upgrade relative to prior expectations.

Actionable Insight

Given the upgraded earnings and cash‑flow outlook, a long‑biased stance is warranted for investors with a 6‑12‑month horizon—ideally entering on a pull‑back near the 20‑day EMA or on a break above the recent resistance level (~$6.80). Position sizing should reflect the moderate upside potential and the company’s still‑early‑stage cash‑burn profile; a stop‑loss just below the 50‑day moving average (~$5.90) limits downside while preserving upside to the next resistance around $7.25–$7.40. If the Q3 results beat the lower‑end guidance, a short‑term “buy‑the‑dip” on any pull‑back could capture upside momentum as the company approaches certification milestones later in the year.