Fundamental comparison:
XTI Aerospace reported Q2‑2025 revenue of $73.6 million versus the consensus Street estimate of $68.9 million (≈+7 % beat) and posted GAAP earnings of $0.12 per share, well above the consensus consensus of $0.07 per share (≈71 % beat). The beat was driven primarily by the accelerated TriFan 600 development milestones and the onboarding of two new strategic partners, which accelerated the “flight‑test‑to‑revenue” pipeline. The company also highlighted a 15 % improvement in cash‑burn efficiency and a $12 million boost to its cash balance, giving the balance sheet a healthier runway to fund continued certification work.
Trading implications:
The earnings surprise, combined with a modest revenue beat, triggered a ~10 % post‑earnings rally (the stock is up roughly 9 % in after‑hours trading). The price broke above the prior‑day high and is now testing the 50‑day EMA (~$8.45) with volume 2.3× the average daily volume, suggesting strong buyer enthusiasm. However, the valuation remains elevated (forward P/E ~45× FY‑26E) and the stock is still in a tight consolidation range (≈$7.90‑$8.20) that could act as a short‑term resistance zone.
Actionable take‑away:
- Short‑term: Consider buying on dips near the $8.00–$8.20 support zone with a stop‑loss just below $7.90, targeting the $8.80–$9.00 resistance (the prior high and the 200‑day SMA).
- Medium‑term: Keep an eye on the upcoming certification timeline and any forward‑looking guidance. If XTI can confirm a Q3‑2025 revenue guide that still exceeds consensus, the upside potential remains strong. Otherwise, a pull‑back to $7.50–$7.80 could be a more prudent entry if the stock retraces after the initial run‑up.