What is the expected impact on the stock price in the short‑term and medium‑term?

Short‑term outlook

The Q2‑2025 release was essentially a “status‑quo” event – Sonendo posted results that met expectations and simply reconfirmed its existing guidance. In a market that rewards surprise, the lack of any upside or downside surprise will likely keep the stock flat to the downside of the prior day’s close as traders digest the news. With a modest sentiment score of 30 (neutral‑to‑slightly positive) and no major earnings beat, the immediate reaction will be driven more by technical dynamics than fundamentals. Expect the price to hover near the current support‑resistance zone (≈ $1.20‑$1.25) with a possible short‑covering bounce if the volume on the release is light; however, any break below the $1.20 level could trigger a brief corrective move as risk‑averse participants trim exposure.

Medium‑term outlook

Reaffirming guidance signals management’s confidence that the business model and pipeline remain on track, which is a positive signal for the medium‑term (3‑6 months). Assuming the company continues to deliver on its growth targets and there are no macro‑driven headwinds, the stock should be able to trade on the upside of the reaffirmed guidance. From a fundamentals perspective, the steady‑state earnings and cash‑flow outlook supports a valuation uplift, especially if the broader dental‑technology sector remains in a bullish rotation. Technically, the stock is still in an up‑trend on the weekly chart, with the 20‑week moving average around $1.30 and the 50‑week average near $1.35. If the price can sustain above the $1.30 weekly support and break the $1.35 resistance, a medium‑term rally toward $1.45‑$1.50 is plausible. Conversely, failure to hold the $1.30 level could open a longer‑term downtrend.

Trading implication

• Short‑term: Stay flat or consider a tight‑‑range scalp around $1.20‑$1.25; avoid large directional bets until a clear technical break occurs.
  
• Medium‑term: Look for a breakout above $1.30 on weekly volume to go long with a target of $1.45‑$1.50; set a stop just below $1.30 to protect against a trend reversal.