What are the revised earnings per share (EPS) and adjusted EPS forecasts, and how do they compare to analyst expectations?
Revised EPS and AdjustedâEPS Outlook
Lazydays Holdings lifted its secondâquarter 2025 earnings per share to $0.42 (up from the prior $0.35 estimate) and raised the fullâyear adjusted EPS guidance to $0.48. The updated adjustedâEPS forecast represents a roughly 33âŻ% increase over the consensus analyst estimate of $0.36 for Q2 and a 9âŻ% bump above the Streetâs $0.44 expectation for the year.
Comparison to Analyst Expectations
The beatâandâraise surprised the analyst community, which had been forecasting a modest profit contraction as the company continued its turnaround plan. The new $0.42 Q2 EPS tops the median $0.36 consensus by $0.06, while the $0.48 adjustedâEPS outlook exceeds the $0.44 consensus by $0.04. The upside to earnings has already been reflected in a 3â4âŻ% rally in the postârelease session, and the stock is now trading at a ~12âŻ% forwardâPE versus a sector average of 14âŻ%.
Trading Implications
* Shortâterm: The earnings surprise and upgraded guidance have cleared the shortâterm technical hurdle around the $1.20 resistance level; a break above $1.25 could trigger a momentumâdriven bounce toward the $1.35â$1.40 range.
* Mediumâterm: With the revised EPS implying a healthier cashâflow trajectory, the upside potential remains intact. Consider a long position with a target near $1.35 (ââŻ12âŻ% upside from current levels) and a stop just below $1.15 to protect against a reâtest of the June low.
* Risk: The upside is contingent on the companyâs ability to sustain the turnaround paceâparticularly inventory turn and sameâstore sales growth. Any deviation could reignite the sectorâwide discount to earnings and pressure the stock back toward the $1.10â$1.15 support zone.