The merger is being executed on aâŻstockâforâstock basis, meaning CMB.TECH will exchange its shares for Golden Ocean equity rather than paying cash. In transactions of this type companies almost always suspend or significantly scale back any discretionary capitalâreturn programs (dividends and buybacks) until the deal closes and the new balanceâsheet is clarified. CMB.TECHâs Q2â2025 update contains no reference to an ongoing dividend or a scheduled shareârepurchase programme, and the proximity of the âexpected closing dateâ suggests management will devote most of the nearâterm cash flow to integration costs, debt refinancing and any earnâout or contingentâvalue payments tied to the merger. Consequently, investors should anticipate at least a temporary pause in dividend payouts and a likely suspension of buybacks until the postâmerger capitalâallocation policy is formally disclosed.
From a trading perspective, the merger catalyst is already baked into the share price, as reflected by the very high sentiment score (10) and the upcoming earnings release. Expect heightened volatility in the days surrounding the 28âŻAugust earnings call and the eventual merger filing, especially if management provides new guidance on payout policy. Shortâterm traders could look for breakouts on the upside if earnings beat expectations, but be mindful of a potential pullâback once the market digests a likely dividend suspension. Longerâterm holders should monitor the postâmerger shareholder communications for any reinstatement of dividends or buyback authorisations, which could become a key driver of totalâreturn expectations after integration is complete.