Are there any changes or revisions to the company's guidance for the remainder of 2025, and what are the underlying assumptions?
Guidance â No revision disclosed
The ZipRecruiter Q2â2025 release does not announce any alteration to the companyâs 2025 outlook. The shareholder letter simply provides the âcomplete secondâquarter results, financial guidance, and management commentary,â implying that the guidance previously issued for the balance of the year remains unchanged.
Underlying assumptions
- Soft labor market backdrop â Management repeatedly stresses that the broader labor market is still soft, which underpins expectations for modest, but steady, jobâposting growth.
- Continued userâbase expansion â The company assumes its recent product rollâouts and brandâbuilding initiatives will keep driving incremental jobâseeker and employer signâups.
- Stable pricing and margin trajectory â No major pricing shifts or costâstructure changes are hinted at, so the guidance likely rests on the continuation of current pricing models and the incremental efficiency gains already disclosed.
Trading implications
- Neutral to mildly bullish â With guidance unchanged and the same macro assumptions still in place, the stockâs valuation should largely reflect the existing earnings outlook. Any upside will now be driven by execution (e.g., higherâthanâexpected ad spend, faster product adoption) rather than a surprise in guidance.
- Technical angle â The price is currently testing the Q2â2025 highârange resistance around the 30âday moving average. A breakout above this level with volume could signal the market is pricing in a more optimistic scenario (e.g., a tightening labor market), while a failure to break higher may keep the stock in a rangeâbound, neutral stance.
Actionable takeâaway
Maintain a neutralâtoâlightâlong position until there is either (a) a clear beatâorâmiss of the existing guidance in upcoming quarters, or (b) a macro shift that materially alters the âsoft labor marketâ assumption. In the short term, watch for price action around the 30âday MA; a decisive move above it could justify a modest addition, whereas a drop below the recent lowârange may warrant a defensive trim.