How does the current sentiment score of 70 compare to historical sentiment for Wynn and the broader Macau gaming sector?
Sentiment Context â A sentiment score of 70 places WynnâŻMacau well above its own historical average. Throughout the pandemic and the earlyâ2024 recovery phase, Wynnâs sentiment typically hovered in the 50â55 range (neutralâslightly bullish) and only occasionally nudged into the lowâ60s after strong earnings releases. By contrast, the broader Macau gaming sector has moved from the lowâ40s (midâ2021) to the midâ50sâ60s after the 2023â24 tourism rebound. A 70 score therefore signals one of the most optimistic sentiment levels for Wynn since the preâCOVID era (2018â2019) and is noticeably higher than the current sectorâwide average, which sits roughly 5â10 points lower (around 60â65) according to recent MoonFox data.
Trading Implications â The elevated sentiment reflects market confidence in Wynnâs premium brand, a resurgence in VIP baccarat (the strongest since 2019), and the rollout of âsmartâgamingâ upgradesâall of which underpin the forecasted 5.5âŻ% YoY revenue gain to $933âŻm. With sentiment markedly above the historical baseline, the stock is likely to continue its shortâterm upside as investors price in the upsideâpotential from both gaming and nonâgaming revenue streams. Technically, Wynnâs price action has recently broken above the 50âday EMA and is testing a prior resistance zone near $115; a confirmed close above this level could trigger a breakâout buy signal. However, traders should still monitor macroâriskâespecially potential regulatory changes or a slowdown in VIP trafficâand keep a tight stop (â5âŻ% below entry) to protect against a sudden reârating if tourism data disappoint. Overall, the 70 sentiment score, being historically high for both Wynn and the wider Macau market, supports a bullish, but riskâmanaged, positioning in WYNN.