What were the key drivers behind any revenue growth or decline (e.g., advertising spend, user growth, new product launches, regulatory changes)?
Fundamental drivers:
Weiboâs Q2âŻ2025 revenue rose ~12% YoY to RMBâŻ13.6âŻbn, driven primarily by a rebound in advertising spend as brands resume higherâbudget campaigns after the âsummer slumpâ and the easing of regulatory curbs on political content. The company reported a 10% increase in daily active users (DAUs) to 381âŻmillion, driven by stronger engagement among GenâZ users on the new shortâform video âWeiboâReelsâ feature launched in March, which has attracted additional brandedâcontent deals and a 15% lift in nativeâad CPMs. Additionally, the launch of an integrated eâcommerce storefront within the platformâs âSuperâTopicâ ecosystem drove a 22% jump in commerceârelated revenue, offsetting a modest 3% dip in traditional banner ad margins.
Market & trading implications:
The earnings beat, combined with a clear growth narrative around userâbase expansion and higherâmargin videoâad inventory, suggests the stock may reâprice toward the upper end of its 2025â2026 valuation range (ââŻ$45â$48). Technically, WB is trading just above its 50âday EMA with a bullish MACD crossover, and the 20âday RSI is near 55, indicating room for upside on a breakout above $46. Investors should watch the upcoming Q3 earnings for confirmation of sustained adâspend momentum, while keeping an eye on any renewed dataâprivacy or contentâmoderation policy changes from Beijing that could pressure the ad market. A shortâterm buying opportunity exists on pullâbacks to the $42â$44 band, with a target near $48â$50 if DAU growth stays above 5% YoY; a break below $38 could trigger a stopâloss given the sectorâs sensitivity to regulatory headlines.