What are the margin trends (gross, operating, EBITDA) in this quarter and what are the drivers of any changes?
Answer
The press‑release you quoted does not give the actual gross‑margin, operating‑margin, or EBITDA‑margin numbers for the second quarter of 2025. It only provides a high‑level view of the company’s top‑line performance (revenue and backlog) and forward‑looking guidance (> 30 % annual revenue growth and a target to be EBITDA‑positive in the first half of 2026).
Because of that, any discussion of margin trends for this quarter has to be framed around the information that is available, combined with what is typically driving margin changes for a company in Velo3D’s growth phase.
Below is a structured assessment that pulls together the disclosed data, the company’s stated expectations, and the likely underlying drivers of margin movement in this quarter.
1. What the release tells us about margins
Metric | Information from the release | Interpretation |
---|---|---|
Revenue | $13.6 million for Q2 2025 | Small‑scale compared with the “> 30 % annual revenue growth” target – indicates the company is still in a rapid‑growth, low‑volume stage. |
Backlog | $15.9 million as of 30 Jun 2025; $17.8 million as of 25 Jul 2025 | A growing order pipeline that should translate into higher future revenue. |
EBITDA outlook | “Reaffirms expectation to be EBITDA positive in the first half of 2026.” | The company is still operating at a negative EBITDA in Q2 2025, but expects to cross the breakeven line within the next 12‑18 months. |
Gross‑margin & operating‑margin data | Not disclosed | No explicit percentages or dollar amounts are provided for Q2 2025. |
Bottom line: The release does not present the actual margin percentages for the quarter, so we cannot quote a specific trend (e.g., “gross margin fell from 45 % to 42 %”). However, the narrative around the upcoming EBITDA‑positive milestone gives clues about the direction of each margin component.
2. Reasonable inference of margin direction
2.1 Gross Margin
- Typical drivers for a high‑growth additive‑manufacturing firm:
- Cost of goods sold (COGS) – material and labor: As Velo3D scales production, it can negotiate better pricing on raw metal powders and amortize capital‑equipment costs over more units, which generally improves gross margin*.
- Product mix: Introducing higher‑value, higher‑price‑point machines or services (e.g., post‑processing, software subscriptions) can lift the gross margin.
- Cost of goods sold (COGS) – material and labor: As Velo3D scales production, it can negotiate better pricing on raw metal powders and amortize capital‑equipment costs over more units, which generally improves gross margin*.
- What the data suggest:
- The company is still relatively early in its revenue trajectory (Q2 2025 revenue of $13.6 M).
- The “backlog” is expanding, indicating that future sales will be higher‑volume.
- Inference: Gross margin is likely stable or modestly improving versus prior quarters, as the firm leverages its existing production capacity and begins to benefit from economies of scale.
- The company is still relatively early in its revenue trajectory (Q2 2025 revenue of $13.6 M).
2.2 Operating Margin (EBIT)
- Operating expenses for a fast‑growing tech‑hardware firm typically include:
- R&D (product development, software integration).
- Sales & marketing (customer acquisition, field service expansion).
- General & administrative (head‑count growth, corporate overhead).
- R&D (product development, software integration).
- What the release suggests:
- The firm is still negative EBITDA and is targeting a positive EBITDA in H1 2026.
- This implies that operating expenses are currently outpacing the incremental revenue, keeping the operating margin compressed (i.e., a larger operating loss relative to revenue).
- The firm is still negative EBITDA and is targeting a positive EBITDA in H1 2026.
- Inference: Operating margin is still negative and likely stable or slightly deteriorating in the short term, as the company invests heavily to capture the projected > 30 % YoY revenue growth. The “EBITDA‑positive” target indicates that the firm expects operating leverage to improve once the revenue base is large enough to absorb the fixed cost base.
2.3 EBITDA Margin
- Current status: The press‑release explicitly states the company has not yet reached EBITDA positivity.
- Drivers of the current negative EBITDA margin:
- High fixed costs (manufacturing equipment, R&D, sales & marketing) relative to modest revenue.
- Working‑capital intensity (growing backlog, inventory build‑up) that can depress cash‑flow‑related margins.
- High fixed costs (manufacturing equipment, R&D, sales & marketing) relative to modest revenue.
- Future trajectory: The reaffirmed guidance to be EBITDA positive in the first half of 2026 signals that management expects the EBITDA margin to improve sharply as revenue scales faster than the cost base. The primary drivers of that improvement will be:
- Revenue acceleration from the expanding backlog (backlog grew from $15.9 M to $17.8 M within a month).
- Operating leverage – fixed costs (e.g., factory overhead, R&D) will be spread over a larger sales volume.
- Potential cost‑optimization initiatives (e.g., supply‑chain efficiencies, lower material waste, automation of post‑processing).
- Revenue acceleration from the expanding backlog (backlog grew from $15.9 M to $17.8 M within a month).
3. Key drivers behind any observed or expected margin changes
Margin component | Primary drivers of change (observed or expected) |
---|---|
Gross margin | • Scale‑economies on metal‑powder purchases and machine‑building. • Product‑mix shift toward higher‑margin offerings (e.g., premium machines, recurring software subscriptions). • Manufacturing efficiency gains (reduced scrap, better utilization of the “high‑speed, high‑precision” Velo3D printers). |
Operating margin | • R&D spend to expand material capabilities and software features – a necessary cost in a growth phase. • Sales & marketing expansion to capture the expanding backlog and accelerate market penetration. • G&A overhead (e.g., hiring in Fremont, corporate functions) that grows with the scaling organization. |
EBITDA margin | • Revenue growth vs. cost growth – the company’s > 30 % YoY revenue target is the main lever that will turn EBITDA positive. • Working‑capital management – converting backlog into cash faster reduces cash‑burn and improves EBITDA. • Cost‑structure rationalization (e.g., renegotiated supplier contracts, leaner manufacturing processes) that will lower SG&A and COGS as a proportion of revenue. |
4. Summary of the margin picture for Q2 2025
Margin | Current trend (based on available data) | Anticipated direction (next 12‑18 months) | Rationale |
---|---|---|---|
Gross margin | Stable or modestly improving – early signs of scale economies, no major cost spikes reported. | Improving – as backlog converts to higher‑volume sales and the product mix shifts toward higher‑margin offerings. | Larger production runs, better material pricing, potential software‑licensing revenue. |
Operating margin (EBIT) | Negative and likely still compressed – the firm is investing heavily to fuel > 30 % revenue growth. | Improving (still negative but narrowing) – operating leverage should kick in as revenue climbs toward the 30 % growth target. | Fixed cost base (R&D, SG&A) will be spread over a larger revenue base. |
EBITDA margin | Negative – the company has not yet reached EBITDA positivity. | Turning positive by H1 2026 – driven by strong top‑line growth, backlog conversion, and cost‑efficiency measures. | Revenue growth outpacing expense growth, plus targeted cost‑optimization initiatives. |
5. What to watch for in the next disclosures
- Quarterly margin percentages – future earnings releases (e.g., Q3 2025) should start reporting gross, operating, and EBITDA margins, allowing a direct comparison to the inferences above.
- R&D and SG&A spend trends – a breakdown of these line items will clarify whether operating expenses are indeed plateauing relative to revenue.
- Backlog conversion rate – the speed at which the $17.8 M backlog is realized will be a leading indicator of margin improvement.
- Capital‑expenditure updates – any new manufacturing line or automation investment could temporarily depress margins but may accelerate long‑term gross‑margin gains.
Bottom line
- The press‑release does not provide explicit margin figures for Q2 2025, so we cannot quote exact percentages.
- Gross margin is likely stable or modestly improving due to scaling and product‑mix effects.
- Operating margin remains negative, reflecting heavy R&D and sales‑and‑marketing spend needed to sustain the > 30 % revenue growth target.
- EBITDA margin is still negative, but management’s reaffirmed guidance to be EBITDA positive in the first half of 2026 indicates a clear plan to lift the EBITDA margin through revenue acceleration and cost‑efficiency measures.
When the next earnings release provides the actual margin numbers, you can replace the qualitative assessment above with precise trend data. Until then, the drivers outlined here should help you understand the direction and underlying forces shaping Velo3D’s margin performance in this quarter.