What drove the swing?
TherapeuticsMDâs shift from a $1.05âŻmillion loss to a $545âŻk profit stems primarily from improved royaltyâincome streams and tighter cost controls in the quarter. The companyâs core businessâreceiving royalty payments from a portfolio of marketed pharmaceuticalsâexperienced a significant uptick in cashâflow contributions (new licensing deals, higher sales of partner products, and fasterâthanâexpected milestone payments). At the same time, the firm trimmed operating expenses, notably reducing R&D and SG&A outlays by streamlining its licensingâadministration function and deferring nonâcore projects. The net effect was a $1.6âŻmillion swing (the $545âŻk profit versus the prior $1.05âŻm loss), which the earnings release attributes to âhigher royalty receipts and disciplined expense management.â
Trading implications
The earnings beat translated to a sharp shortâterm rally in TXMD shares, with the stock breaking above its 20âday moving average and generating a ~7âŻ% price gain on the day, while volume surged to 2â3âŻĂ the average daily volumeâsignaling strong buyer interest. Technically, the stock now holds the 50âday EMA and is testing the rising 200âday SMA, suggesting the upâtrend could continue if the royaltyâincome trend persists. However, the profit boost is quarterâspecific; analysts note the need for sustained royalty growth and a stable expense base to avoid regression to previous losses. Actionable takeâaway: Consider a shortâtoâmediumâterm long on TXMD if the price holds above the 20âday EMA with volume confirming the bounce, but set a tight stopâloss just below the 50âday EMA to guard against a pullâback if royalty receipts dip or the company reâinvests heavily in new R&D projects. Keep an eye on upcoming licensing updates and any potential oneâtime items (e.g., settlement proceeds) that could artificially inflate the current quarterâs numbers.