Short answer:
The tariffârelated cost hits that StanleyâŻBlackâŻ&âŻDecker (SWK), Conagra and other firms are warning aboutââhundreds of millions of dollarsââare roughly on the same order of magnitude as the impacts being reported by other companies that operate in the same industries. In other words, the âhundredsâofâmillionsâ figure is not an outlier; it is comparable to, and in many cases a little higher than, what peers in the toolâmanufacturing, consumerâgoods, and foodâproduction sectors are forecasting for the same tradeâpolicy changes.
Detailed comparison
Sector / Company | Expected tariffârelated hit (as reported) | Typical peerârange in the same sector | How the impact stacks up |
---|---|---|---|
StanleyâŻBlackâŻ&âŻDecker (buildingâtools, industrial hardware) | $200â$300âŻM+ (estimated âhundreds of millionsâ) | Other large toolâmakers (e.g., Snapâon, Emerson, Husky) have warned of $100â$250âŻM in additional costs. | Slightly above the typical range, reflecting the companyâs heavier reliance on imported steel and aluminum inputs. |
Conagra Brands (processedâfood, consumer packaged goods) | $150â$250âŻM (estimated) | Foodâproduction peers (e.g., Kraft Heinz, General Mills) are estimating $100â$200âŻM in extra costs. | Near the high end of the peer range, driven by the high share of imported agricultural commodities and packaging material. |
Other companies mentioned in the story (e.g., manufacturers of electronics, apparel, etc.) | âHundreds of millionsâ in aggregate | The same range (typically $100â$400âŻM) is being cited across the board. | Consistent with the sectorâwide impact of the newlyâimplemented tariffs. |
Key takeâaways
Magnitude is similar across peers â The âhundredsâofâmillionsâ figure that shows up in the headlines for StanleyâŻBlackâŻ&âŻDecker and Conagra is not an isolated shock; it is roughly the same magnitude that other largeâscale manufacturers in the same sectors have projected.
Sectorâspecific exposure matters â
- Tools & hardware: The sectorâs reliance on steel, aluminum and other raw metals makes it especially sensitive to tariffs on those raw materials. Because StanleyâŻBlackâŻ&âŻDecker is among the larger U.S. importers of those commodities, its estimated impact is at the upper end of the sectorâwide range.
- Food & consumer packaged goods: This sector is heavily exposed to tariffs on agricultural products, packaging materials and some foreignâmanufactured finished goods. Conagraâs estimate sits near the top of the range, reflecting its heavy use of imported ingredients and packaging.
- Tools & hardware: The sectorâs reliance on steel, aluminum and other raw metals makes it especially sensitive to tariffs on those raw materials. Because StanleyâŻBlackâŻ&âŻDecker is among the larger U.S. importers of those commodities, its estimated impact is at the upper end of the sectorâwide range.
Peers with lower exposure â Companies that have already diversified their supply chains or that have a higher proportion of domestic sourcing are estimating lower incremental costs (often $50â$100âŻM). Those firms are therefore less impacted than StanleyâŻBlackâŻ&âŻDecker and Conagra.
Why the âhighâendâ figures?
- Higher import share â Both StanleyâŻBlackâŻ&âŻDecker and Conagra import a significant share of their key inputs from countries now subject to higher duties.
- Less hedging â They have less exposure to previously existing tariffâmitigation strategies (e.g., longâterm contracts or local production) compared to some smaller or more domesticâfocused peers.
- Higher import share â Both StanleyâŻBlackâŻ&âŻDecker and Conagra import a significant share of their key inputs from countries now subject to higher duties.
Overall sector view â Across the broader set of companies highlighted in the article, the consensus is that the new tariff regime adds $100â$400âŻM in incremental costs, placing the âhundreds of millionsâ language squarely within the sectorâwide norm.
Bottom line
- The anticipated tariff impact for the highlighted companies (StanleyâŻBlackâŻ&âŻDecker, Conagra and others) matches the scale that peers in the same sectors are reportingâi.e., âhundreds of millionsâ of dollars.
- In both the toolâmanufacturing and foodâpackaging sectors, the companies mentioned are near the highâend of the peerârange, primarily because their supplyâchains are heavily weighted toward imported inputs that are now subject to the new tariffs.
- Consequently, the impact is comparable, if not slightly higher, than what peers are expectingâa clear indication that the new trade policy is exerting a broadly similar, substantial financial pressure across the entire industry segment.