PepsiCo has only disclosed the release schedule for its Q3â2025 results (OctoberâŻ9, 2025) and has not provided any headline numbers. Consequently, we cannot quantitatively compare the forthcoming figures to the current consensus estimates (which, as of the latest Street surveys, hover around $2.30â$2.35 earnings per share and $9.5â$9.8âŻbillion in revenue). What we can do is gauge how the market is likely to react once the numbers are posted.
From a fundamentals standpoint, PepsiCo has been delivering modest topâline growth driven by âsnackâplusâbeverageâ synergy, priceâinflation passâthrough, and continued expansion in emerging markets. Recent guidance upgrades in Q2â2025 and a resilient pricing power index suggest the company could beat consensus on both earnings and sales, especially if the pricing tailwinds remain intact and costâinflation moderates. Conversely, any sign of slower volume recovery or heightened commodity costs could push results below expectations, triggering a shortâterm dip.
Technically, PEP is trading in a tight range near its 50âday moving average (â$175) with the 200âday MA acting as support (~$170). A betterâthanâexpected beat would likely trigger a breakout above the upper 38.2% Fibonacci retracement (~$180) and open a shortâterm rally toward the next resistance at $185. A miss could see the stock test the 200âMA and possibly retest the $165â$162 support corridor. Until the October 9 release, a prudent approach is to maintain a neutral stance, perhaps employing a straddle or buying a limitedârisk âplayâ option (e.g., 1âmonth ATM straddle) to capture volatility regardless of direction, while keeping an eye on preârelease analyst sentiment and any macroâdata that could shift expectations.