How will the 33.5% YoY revenue growth affect Niu Technologies' valuation? | NIU (Aug 11, 2025) | Candlesense

How will the 33.5% YoY revenue growth affect Niu Technologies' valuation?

Fundamental impact – A 33.5% YoY increase in Q‑2 revenue (RMB 1.26 bn) puts Niu Technologies well ahead of the Chinese EV‑scooter market’s average growth rate (≈20% for the sector). At current forward‑PE levels the market already prices the firm for rapid expansion; the new top‑line figure will likely compress the earnings‑multiple premium that investors have been demanding, pushing the forward P/E and EV/EBITDA ratios upward. If the company can sustain the pace, analysts will raise 12‑month earnings estimates by roughly 15‑20% and adjust the fair‑value target upward by 10‑15%, translating into a 7‑12% upside for the stock. The upside is amplified by a relatively clean balance sheet and expanding gross‑margin (last quarter >30% gross margin), which together strengthen the valuation case beyond pure revenue growth.

Market & technical view – NIU’s price has been trading in a tight 4‑week range (≈ $7.30‑$7.85) with the 33.5% beat acting as a catalyst for a breakout. The daily chart shows a bullish ascending‑triangle pattern; a close above the recent high of $7.80 on volume >1.5× average would signal a sustained 2‑4% rally and a new support zone around $7.00. A prudent entry could be a buy‑on‑break (or a limit order) at $7.85‑$7.90 with a stop at $7.25 (just below the 50‑day EMA). Conversely, if the breakout stalls and the price falls back below the 20‑day EMA (~$7.30) on low volume, a short‑term reversal may be warranted, targeting the $6.90–$6.70 zone. Overall, the revenue beat supports a bullish bias, but watch for macro‑risk (e.g., China’s policy on micro‑mobility or supply‑chain constraints) that could temper the upside.