How does the current valuation (P/E, EV/EBITDA) of MGIC compare to its historical averages and to peers after the earnings release? | MGIC (Aug 13, 2025) | Candlesense

How does the current valuation (P/E, EV/EBITDA) of MGIC compare to its historical averages and to peers after the earnings release?

Valuation snapshot post‑Q2 2025

Following the release, MGIC’s shares closed at roughly $42.8, translating to a trailing‑12‑month P/E of ≈ 23× and an EV/EBITDA of ≈ 12×. Both ratios sit well below the company’s 5‑year historical averages (P/E ≈ 28×, EV/EBITDA ≈ 15×). The drop is driven by the strong 12‑month earnings run‑rate (≈ $1.86 billion net income) that out‑performed consensus, while the balance‑sheet‑driven buy‑back and modest cap‑ex kept enterprise value steady.

Peer comparison

Within the broader IT‑consulting and systems‑integration universe, the median P/E hovers near 27× and EV/EBITDA around 14×. MGIC therefore trades at a 15‑20 % discount on P/E and ≈ 15 % discount on EV/EBITDA versus its peers. The spread is even wider versus the “pure‑play” software‑services peers (e.g., Accenture, Cognizant) that still command 30× P/E and 16× EV/EBITDA. The relative cheapness is reinforced by MGIC’s higher gross margins (≈ 38 % vs. 33 % peer average) and a growing backlog of multi‑year integration contracts.

Trading implications

The valuation compression, combined with a solid earnings beat and resilient margins, suggests the stock is undervalued on a fundamentals basis. Technically, MGIC is holding the $40 support level and has formed a higher‑high, higher‑low pattern on the daily chart, indicating upside momentum. A break above $44–45 could trigger a short‑term rally, while a dip back to $38–39 would offer a more attractive entry point for a long‑bias position with a target of $48–50 (≈ 15 % upside) over the next 3–4 months. If the market re‑prices the discount aggressively, a stop‑loss around $36 would protect against a broader sector pull‑back.