What are the short‑term market reactions expected for the stock following the release, and what trading opportunities might arise?
Short‑term market reaction
The downgrade of 2025 revenue guidance will likely trigger an immediate downside in AQP’s price. In today’s pre‑market session we can expect a 5‑8 % sell‑off as investors price‑in the weaker top‑line outlook, especially given the negative sentiment score (‑30). The decision to keep EBITDA guidance unchanged will temper the fall‑off somewhat, but the net effect will still be a sharp, volatility‑driven dip with the stock testing its recent support around the 1‑month low (≈ DKK 0.78). Trading volume is expected to spike, and the bid‑ask spread will widen as market makers adjust risk.
Trading opportunities
- Short‑bias play – A quick‑fade short or a sell‑stop order just above the current market price (e.g., DKK 0.80) can capture the initial momentum. A tight stop (≈ 3 % above entry) protects against a bounce if the strategic review sparks a “buy‑the‑dip” narrative.
- Buy‑the‑dip / mean‑reversion – If the price breaches the 1‑month low with strong volume, the move may be oversold. A small‑size long at that level, with a stop just below the low (≈ DKK 0.73), positions you for a short‑term bounce as the market digests the unchanged EBITDA and the potential upside of a strategic review.
3 Option‑play – For a more defined risk‑reward, buying near‑term put options (1‑2 weeks to expiry) or a long‑straddle around the current strike can profit from either continued downside or a volatility‑driven swing if the review triggers unexpected news (e.g., a divestiture or partnership).
Overall, the immediate reaction will be bearish, but the unchanged EBITDA and the “strategic review” flag create a dual‑sided setup: short on the initial drop, with the flexibility to flip to a contrarian long if the price overshoots the oversold zone. Keep a close eye on the next 24‑hour price action, volume, and any follow‑up commentary from the company’s board.