Is the company providing any guidance or outlook for H2 2025 and FY 2025, and how might that influence the stock's valuation?
Guidance â none provided
The press release only covers the unaudited results for the sixâmonth period endingâŻ30âŻJuneâŻ2025. There is no forwardâlooking statement, earnings guidance, or revenue outlook for the second half of 2025 (H2âŻ2025) or the fullâyear (FYâŻ2025). Yunjiâs management has therefore left the market without a concrete forecast for the balance of the year.
Valuation impact
In the absence of guidance, investors must price the stock on a âblindâ basis, relying solely on historical performance and macroâtrend assumptions. This information gap typically compresses the forwardâPE multiple, as analysts apply a higher discount to account for increased uncertainty and the risk of a surprise (positive or negative) in H2/FY results. Consequently, the stock may trade at a modestly lower valuation relative to peers that do provide guidance, and we can expect heightened price volatility around any subsequent earnings release or macroânews that could fill the guidance void.
Trading implication
Given the current lack of forward guidance, a cautious, shortâtoâmediumâterm stance is advisable. If the H1âŻ2025 results beat expectations (e.g., revenue growth, margin expansion), the market may reward the stock with a bounce, but the upside is capped until guidance is issued. Conversely, a weak H1 could trigger a sharper sellâoff as the valuation already reflects a discount for uncertainty. Position sizing should therefore be modest, with tight stops to manage the added earningsârisk premium, and a watchâlist for any followâup communication from Yunji that might finally set H2/FY expectations.