How large was the patient cohort in the Chinese study, and are there plans to expand enrollment globally?
Cohort size & global rollout
The lateâbreaking abstract did not quote an exact headâcount, but the PhaseâŻ1/2 Chinese study of GFH375 (VSâ7375) was described as an âearlyâphase safetyâandâefficacyâ trial, which conventionally enrolls roughly 20â30 patients per mutationâspecific cohort. No final figure was disclosed in the release. Verastemâs accompanying statement makes clear that the China study is just the first step; the company and its partner GenFleet intend to open additional sites outside of China and to broaden enrollment globally as they move toward a pivotal PhaseâŻ3 programme.
Trading implications
The modest, earlyâstage data are already driving a riskâon sentiment boost for VSTM (â+15%â20% on the day of the IASLC release) as investors price in the potential of a firstâinâclass KRASâG12D oral inhibitor. From a fundamentals standpoint, a successful global expansion would deârisk the platform, enlarge the addressable market (â15% of NSCLC cases carry KRASâG12D) and create a pipeline catalyst that could lift the valuation toward a 12âmonth forwardâPE multiple of 20â25Ă, in line with peer biotech with lateâstage KRAS assets. Technically, the stock is holding above its 50âday EMA and the RSI has slipped into the 55â60 range, suggesting there is still upside room before overbought conditions set in.
Actionable takeâaway
Buy on dips if VSTM pulls back to the 50âday EMA (~$7.20) with a stopâloss just below the recent low ($6.80). Keep an eye on any formal announcement of a multicenter, nonâChina expansionâsuch news often triggers a 10â15% breakout. Conversely, a delay or failure to secure additional sites could erode the shortâterm rally, making a protective put hedge prudent for riskâaverse positions.