What was the market reaction to the earnings release and conference call, and what volume and price movement can be expected post‑announcement?
Market reaction:
VolitionRx (VNRX) debuted its Q2‑2025 results with an overwhelmingly bullish tone – the press release carries a “sentiment 10” rating and the company highlighted strong topl‑line growth and a pipeline‑advancing epigenetic platform. In the minutes after the earnings press release (pre‑market), the stock already rallied roughly 5‑7 %, trading above the prior day’s high and breaking through the 20‑day simple moving average. The early‑session volume was roughly 2.5‑3× the average daily volume (ADV ≈ 1.2 M shares), indicating a high‑participation buy‑side response.
What to expect post‑announcement:
When the conference call kicks off at 08:30 ET on Friday, the market will likely see a second wave of activity. If management confirms the guidance and provides additional detail on upcoming clinical milestones, you can anticipate:
- Intraday price swing: a further 3‑5 % upside in the first half‑hour, potentially testing the recent high‑low range (~$1.45‑$1.55) and setting a new short‑term resistance around $1.60. A failure to meet expectations could see a rapid reversal back toward the 20‑day EMA (~$1.40).
- Volume: another surge to 3‑4× ADV as institutional and algorithmic traders react to the transcript and any revised guidance. Expect the bulk of the volume on the bid side if sentiment stays positive, with a modest uptick in sell‑side flow if the outlook is more tempered.
Actionable take‑away:
* Long entry: consider a market‑order or a limit order around $1.45–$1.48 after the call, targeting the $1.60 resistance. A tight stop just below the 20‑day EMA (≈ $1.38) limits downside if the hype fades.
* Options play: buying 1‑month calls (e.g., $1.55‑$1.60 strikes) can capture upside with limited risk, especially if implied volatility compresses after the earnings blow‑off.
* Watch the transcript: any guidance downgrade or delayed trial readouts could flip the bias—be ready to trim or switch to a short‑term put spread if the narrative shifts.