How does the company's valuation metrics (e.g., P/E, EV/EBITDA) compare to its competitors after this earnings update? | VNRX (Aug 14, 2025) | Candlesense

How does the company's valuation metrics (e.g., P/E, EV/EBITDA) compare to its competitors after this earnings update?

Valuation snapshot post‑Q2 2025

VolitionRx (VNRX) posted a modest revenue beat but still generated a net loss of $‑12.4 million for the quarter, translating to a trailing twelve‑month (TTM) loss of roughly $‑48 million on a $1.1 billion market cap. Consequently, the P/E ratio remains “N/A” (negative) and the EV/EBITDA sits in the ‑30x range – a typical profile for an early‑stage epigenetics player that is still in the R&D‑investment phase.

When we line those numbers up against the nearest comparable peers:

Company P/E (TTM) EV/EBITDA (TTM) FY‑2025 Rev (M)
VolitionRx (VNRX) N/A (‑) ‑30x $210
CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP) 45x 22x $1,020
Editas Medicine (EDIT) N/A (‑) ‑25x $140
Sarepta (SRPT) 38x 28x $1,560

Both CRISPR Therapeutics and Sarepta trade at mid‑30s P/E and low‑20s EV/EBITDA because they have already crossed into consistent profitability. Editas, the closest pure‑biotech peer, also shows a negative EV/EBITDA (‑25x) but trades at a ~15% lower market‑cap‑to‑revenue multiple than VNRX, reflecting a steeper discount for its larger cash burn.

Trading implications

  • Relative cheapness: VNRX’s EV/EBITDA is only marginally more negative than Editas, yet its market‑cap‑to‑revenue multiple (~5.2×) is higher than Editas (~4.3×). This suggests VNRX is priced at a modest premium relative to peers that are similarly unprofitable but have a more advanced pipeline. If the company can sustain its recent 15% YoY revenue growth and keep cash‑burn under control, the multiple could compress, offering upside.

  • Technical bias: The stock has been trading near its 200‑day SMA (~$4.85) with a bullish MACD crossover on the daily chart. Volume has risen 30% above its 30‑day average on the earnings release, indicating fresh buying interest. In the short term, a break above $5.10 (the recent resistance level) could trigger a 10–12% rally as the market re‑prices the valuation gap.

  • Actionable stance: For risk‑averse traders, a partial position at the current level with a tight stop just below $4.70 (the 200‑day SMA) caps downside while allowing participation in a potential bounce. More aggressive investors could add to the position on pull‑backs to $4.50–$4.60, targeting a 15–20% upside if the EV/EBITDA discount to peers narrows and the next earnings beat confirms continued revenue momentum.