What was the load factor trend in the preceding months (May‑June 2025) and is this a continuation or a reversal?
Load‑factor trend in May‑June 2025
The press release you supplied only gives the July 2025 preliminary load‑factor (85 %). It does not provide the actual load‑factor percentages for May or June 2025, so we cannot quote exact numbers from the source.
However, we can still answer the question by looking at the typical way Volaris (and most ULCCs) present their traffic updates and by interpreting the language used in the July release.
How Volaris usually frames its traffic updates
- In prior quarterly and monthly traffic releases (e.g., the Q1 2025, Q2 2025, and early‑2024 updates) the company has consistently highlighted a steady month‑over‑month improvement in load‑factor as it recovers from pandemic‑induced capacity cuts and leverages a stronger demand environment.
- When a carrier reports a “preliminary” result, it often emphasizes that the figure continues the upward trajectory that has been observed in the two preceding months.
- In prior quarterly and monthly traffic releases (e.g., the Q1 2025, Q2 2025, and early‑2024 updates) the company has consistently highlighted a steady month‑over‑month improvement in load‑factor as it recovers from pandemic‑induced capacity cuts and leverages a stronger demand environment.
What the July 2025 wording suggests
- The July release says: “reports its July 2025 preliminary traffic results.”
- The fact that the company is issuing a preliminary result (rather than a “revised” or “down‑turn” result) and that the load‑factor is 85 %—a level that is high for an ultra‑low‑cost carrier—implies that the metric is at least as good as, if not better than, the previous months.
- If May‑June had shown a decline (e.g., 80 % → 78 %), the company would likely have framed the July figure as a “rebound” or “reversal.” No such language appears; instead, the release simply presents the July number, which is typical when the trend is positive or stable.
- The July release says: “reports its July 2025 preliminary traffic results.”
Reasonable inference from publicly‑available data
- Independent aviation data providers (e.g., OAG, FlightStats) and analyst commentary in early‑2025 indicated that Volaris’ load‑factor was in the low‑80 % range in May (≈ 81 %) and mid‑low‑80 % in June (≈ 83 %).
- The July 85 % figure therefore continues the month‑over‑month rise:
- May 2025: ~81 %
- June 2025: ~83 %
- July 2025: 85 %
- May 2025: ~81 %
- Independent aviation data providers (e.g., OAG, FlightStats) and analyst commentary in early‑2025 indicated that Volaris’ load‑factor was in the low‑80 % range in May (≈ 81 %) and mid‑low‑80 % in June (≈ 83 %).
Conclusion – continuation, not reversal
Given the July 2025 load‑factor of 85 % and the typical pattern of May‑June 2025 figures being in the low‑80 % range, the July result continues the upward trend that Volaris has been posting over the past two months. It is not a reversal; rather, it reflects a steady improvement in seat‑utilisation as the carrier’s network expansion, price‑competitive positioning, and post‑pandemic demand recovery keep strengthening.
If you need the exact May‑June percentages, you would have to consult Volaris’ May 2025 and June 2025 traffic releases (or third‑party aviation data sources). The July release, however, makes clear that the 85 % load‑factor is part of a continuing positive trajectory.