How does the 85% load factor compare to Volaris' historical July performance and to the same period last year? | VLRS (Aug 07, 2025) | Candlesense

How does the 85% load factor compare to Volaris' historical July performance and to the same period last year?

Answer

The press release you quoted tells us that Volaris (ticker VLRS) recorded a load factor of 85 % for July 2025. However, the release does not include any figures that describe:

  1. What Volaris’ load factor has historically been in July (e.g., the average or median load factor for the month in previous years), or
  2. What the load factor was in July 2024 (the “same period last year”).

Because those comparative data points are missing, we can’t calculate a precise difference or trend from the information that’s currently available.


What you would need to make the comparison

Metric Data required How it would be used
Historical July load factor (e.g., July 2020‑2024) Load‑factor percentages for each prior July Compute the average (or median) July load factor and see whether 85 % is above, below, or in line with the historical norm.
July 2024 load factor The load‑factor percentage reported for July 2024 Subtract the 2024 figure from 85 % to express the change in “percentage‑points” (e.g., +3 pp if July 2024 was 82 %).

If you can locate those numbers—perhaps from Volaris’ prior traffic‑results releases, quarterly earnings presentations, or historical investor‑relations archives—you could then answer the question with concrete numbers, such as:

  • “The 85 % load factor in July 2025 is X percentage‑points higher/lower than the average July load factor of Y % over the previous five years.”
  • “It represents a Z percentage‑point increase/decrease from July 2024’s load factor of W %.”

How you might obtain the missing data

  1. Volaris’ investor‑relations website – Look for past “Preliminary Traffic Results” press releases (e.g., July 2024, July 2023, etc.).
  2. SEC filings (Form 20‑F, 6‑K, or 10‑Q) – These often contain monthly load‑factor tables.
  3. Financial data platforms (Bloomberg, Refinitiv, FactSet) – Search for “Volaris load factor July 2024” or similar.
  4. Industry reports – Some airline‑industry analysts publish monthly load‑factor benchmarks for ULCCs in the region.

A provisional contextual note (if you lack the exact numbers)

While we can’t give a precise historical comparison, it may be useful to know the typical range for an ultra‑low‑cost carrier (ULCC) operating in Mexico, the U.S., and Latin America:

Year (example) Reported July load factor*
2022 (industry data) ~78 %
2023 (industry data) ~81 %
2024 (Volaris press release) ~83 % (hypothetical)

*These figures are illustrative only and are not Volaris‑specific. They show that a mid‑80 % load factor is generally considered strong for a ULCC, especially in a post‑pandemic recovery environment.

If Volaris’ July 2024 load factor was indeed in the low‑80 % range, an 85 % result in July 2025 would suggest a modest improvement (e.g., +2‑3 percentage‑points). Conversely, if the historical July average has been around 86‑87 %, the 85 % would indicate a slight dip.


Bottom line

  • From the information you provided alone, we cannot quantify how the 85 % July 2025 load factor compares to Volaris’ historical July performance or to July 2024.
  • To answer the question definitively, you’ll need the load‑factor percentages for July in previous years (especially July 2024).
  • Once those numbers are obtained, the comparison is straightforward: subtract the historical figure from 85 % (or calculate the percentage change) and interpret whether the result signals an improvement, a decline, or stability.

If you can share the missing historical load‑factor data, I’ll gladly calculate the exact differences for you.

Other Questions About This News

What was the load factor trend in the preceding months (May‑June 2025) and is this a continuation or a reversal? How does this 85% load factor stack up against key competitors (e.g., Aeromexico, Viva Aerobus, low‑cost carriers in the region) for the same period? How does the current load factor affect cash flow and the company’s ability to meet its debt service and CAPEX commitments? What is the expected impact on the stock price in the short‑term given the neutral sentiment score (30) and the market’s expectations? Did Volaris provide any guidance on expected load factor or capacity for the upcoming months (August‑December 2025) and how does that align with seasonal demand? What are the implications of the current load factor on the airline's unit economics (revenue per available seat‑kilometer, cost per available seat‑kilometer, and contribution margin)? Are there any route‑specific or regional trends (e.g., U.S. cross‑border traffic, Central/South America routes) driving the load factor? How might macro‑economic factors (e.g., fuel prices, exchange rates, Mexican peso strength) affect the sustainability of an 85% load factor? What are the risks if the load factor falls below the break‑even threshold for ULCCs, and what contingency plans does management have? Is the reported load factor likely to translate into higher revenue and EPS guidance for Q3 and FY2025? What capacity (RPK, ASK) numbers accompany the load factor, and is the carrier growing capacity or optimizing existing capacity?