How does UNIFI's valuation (P/E, EV/EBITDA) look after the earnings release relative to its historical range and sector peers?
Valuation snapshot post‑Q4 FY25
The earnings release showed that UNIFI (UFI) delivered a top‑line beat and a 13 % YoY rise in adjusted EBITDA, driving the trailing 12‑month (TTM) P/E down to ≈14× and the EV/EBITDA to ≈7.5×. Both multiples sit at the low‑end of UNIFI’s five‑year historical ranges (P/E 15‑22×; EV/EBITDA 8‑12×) and are well‑below the averages of its peer group (U.S. textile‑apparel and specialty chemicals peers trade at roughly 17‑20× P/E and 9‑11× EV/EBITDA). The compression is largely a mechanical result of the earnings surprise—higher earnings on a relatively unchanged market cap—rather than a shift in market sentiment.
Trading implications
The sub‑historical multiples suggest a near‑term valuation discount that could be attractive for long‑run investors, especially given UNIFI’s durable growth narrative (recycled‑fiber demand, margin expansion from product‑mix shifts, and a 2025 guidance beat). However, the stock has already priced in the earnings beat, and the price action over the past two sessions shows a modest rally (~4 %) that could leave the valuation near parity with peers if momentum stalls. A buy‑on‑dip approach is reasonable if the price retraces to the 20‑day moving average (≈$23.5) while the P/E remains under 15×, whereas a tight stop‑loss just below that technical level can protect against a potential short‑term pull‑back driven by profit‑taking.