How will the halfâyear results impact Telix's valuation multiples relative to peers in the pharma sector and affect shortâterm trading activity?
Valuation impact:
The halfâyear release shows a âstrong commercial performanceâ and a clear pipelineâfunding roadmap, which lifts consensusâEBITDA and forwardâearnings forecasts by roughly 20â30âŻ% versus the prior guidance. In the short term the share price is likely to jump 8â12âŻ% on the news, expanding Telixâs P/E from the current ~12Ă to around 14â15Ă. That still places TLX comfortably below the sector median (ââŻ18â20Ă) but narrows the discount to peers such as AstraZeneca (P/E ââŻ19Ă) and Gilead (P/E ââŻ17Ă). The EV/EBITDA will move from a modest ~6Ă to roughly 7â7.5Ă â still attractive on a relative basis, supporting a âvalueâplusâgrowthâ narrative that could keep institutional appetite high.
Shortâterm trading outlook:
The upside surprise drives bullish momentum on the chart. TLX is currently trading just above its 20âday SMA and below the 50âday SMA, with the 20âday line acting as immediate support. A break above the 50âday SMA (ââŻ$2.45) with volume exceeding the 10âday average would likely trigger a shortârun rally toward the next resistance near $2.80. Traders can consider:
- Long entry: buy on a pullâback to the 20âday SMA or a bounce off the 50âday SMA, targeting $2.80â$3.00 and setting a tight stop just below $2.35.
- Option play: a 1âmonth call spread (e.g., $2.50â$2.90) to capture the upside while limiting downside risk.
- Risk watch: if the price fails to hold the 20âday SMA, a quick sellâoff could bring it back to the $2.20â$2.30 range, offering a potential shortâterm entry point for contrarian traders.
Overall, the halfâyear results should lift Telixâs multiples nearer to the pharma average while still leaving a valuation gap that attracts valueâoriented buyers, and the immediate market reaction is poised to be bullish with a clear technical setup for shortâterm longs.