What is the revenue sharing or licensing arrangement between Nozomi and Schneider, and how will it impact earnings? | SU (Aug 13, 2025) | Candlesense

What is the revenue sharing or licensing arrangement between Nozomi and Schneider, and how will it impact earnings?

Revenue‑sharing / licensing structure

The partnership is built on a technology‑licensing model: Nozomi Networks supplies its “Arc” security‑sensor IP to Schneider Electric, which is baked‑in to the SCADA‑Pack 47xi smart RTU. Schneider will sell the secured RTU as a single‑hardware product and, under the agreement, will pay Nozomi a per‑unit royalty (or a percentage of net sales) for every Arc‑enabled RTU shipped. The deal does not involve a joint‑venture or equity split, but rather a straight‑through licensing stream that lets Nozomi capture recurring revenue from Schneider’s global field‑device sales pipeline.

Impact on earnings

For Nozomi, the royalty tier translates into a high‑‑margin, recurring‑revenue boost that is additive to its existing SaaS‑subscription base. Because the RTU is a capital‑goods product with long‑lead‑times, the royalty will be recognized on a “sell‑through” basis, meaning earnings will rise as Schneider ramps production and ships the secured units—likely in the mid‑ to‑late‑2025 timeframe. The incremental margin is modest on a per‑unit basis, but the sheer scale of Schneider’s global RTU business (tens of millions of units annually) can lift Nozomi’s top line by low‑double‑digit percentages and improve its adjusted EBITDA profile. Schneider, on the other hand, retains the bulk of the hardware margin; the licensing cost is a small line‑item expense, so the partnership is earnings‑neutral to Schneider while enhancing its value proposition in the increasingly security‑sensitive utility market.

Trading implications

The royalty framework gives Nozomi a new, scalable revenue engine that should be reflected in forward‑looking earnings estimates. Analysts are likely to upgrade its 2025‑2026 revenue forecasts, prompting a price‑target uplift of 8‑12 % and a bullish bias on the stock. For Schneider, the deal is a non‑dilutive catalyst that may tighten its competitive positioning but will not materially affect its earnings, so the market impact will be limited to a modest premium on its security‑hardware narrative. In practice, the news is a short‑to‑mid‑term upside catalyst for Nozomi (SU) and a neutral‑to‑positive signal for Schneider Electric (SU). Traders can consider a long position in Nozomi ahead of the royalty ramp‑up, while remaining cautious of the lag between product launch and royalty realization.

Other Questions About This News

What size of addressable market does this security sensor target, and how much market share can it capture? How will this partnership influence the stock price of both Nozomi Networks (if publicly traded) and Schneider Electric (SU) in the short and long term? What is the pricing structure for the embedded security solution, and how does it compare with competing offerings? Will existing Schneider SCADA customers need to upgrade or replace existing hardware to adopt the new security sensor? How will the partnership with Schneider Electric affect Nozomi Networks' revenue and profit margins? What is the expected timeline for commercial deployment of the security sensor in SCADAPack 47xi RTUs? How does the performance and reliability of the Nozomi Arc embedded sensor compare to competitor security solutions for RTUs? What potential regulatory or compliance benefits does the integrated security solution provide to end‑users? How might this partnership affect the competitive landscape for industrial cybersecurity vendors? Are there any risks or challenges related to integrating a third‑party security layer into Schneider’s hardware? What is the expected adoption rate among existing SCADAPack 47xi users, and what is the projected sales volume? Will this partnership open new market segments or geographies for either company? How will the partnership be reflected in the companies' guidance and analyst expectations? What impact could this have on the broader industrial IoT security market outlook?