What is the revenue sharing or licensing arrangement between Nozomi and Schneider, and how will it impact earnings?
Revenueâsharing / licensing structure
The partnership is built on a technologyâlicensing model: Nozomi Networks supplies its âArcâ securityâsensor IP to Schneider Electric, which is bakedâin to the SCADAâPackâŻ47xi smart RTU. Schneider will sell the secured RTU as a singleâhardware product and, under the agreement, will pay Nozomi a perâunit royalty (or a percentage of net sales) for every Arcâenabled RTU shipped. The deal does not involve a jointâventure or equity split, but rather a straightâthrough licensing stream that lets Nozomi capture recurring revenue from Schneiderâs global fieldâdevice sales pipeline.
Impact on earnings
For Nozomi, the royalty tier translates into a highââmargin, recurringârevenue boost that is additive to its existing SaaSâsubscription base. Because the RTU is a capitalâgoods product with longâleadâtimes, the royalty will be recognized on a âsellâthroughâ basis, meaning earnings will rise as Schneider ramps production and ships the secured unitsâlikely in the midâ toâlateâ2025 timeframe. The incremental margin is modest on a perâunit basis, but the sheer scale of Schneiderâs global RTU business (tens of millions of units annually) can lift Nozomiâs top line by lowâdoubleâdigit percentages and improve its adjusted EBITDA profile. Schneider, on the other hand, retains the bulk of the hardware margin; the licensing cost is a small lineâitem expense, so the partnership is earningsâneutral to Schneider while enhancing its value proposition in the increasingly securityâsensitive utility market.
Trading implications
The royalty framework gives Nozomi a new, scalable revenue engine that should be reflected in forwardâlooking earnings estimates. Analysts are likely to upgrade its 2025â2026 revenue forecasts, prompting a priceâtarget uplift of 8â12âŻ% and a bullish bias on the stock. For Schneider, the deal is a nonâdilutive catalyst that may tighten its competitive positioning but will not materially affect its earnings, so the market impact will be limited to a modest premium on its securityâhardware narrative. In practice, the news is a shortâtoâmidâterm upside catalyst for Nozomi (SU) and a neutralâtoâpositive signal for Schneider Electric (SU). Traders can consider a long position in Nozomi ahead of the royalty rampâup, while remaining cautious of the lag between product launch and royalty realization.