How does Sunlands' valuation multiples (PE, EV/EBITDA) after the earnings release compare to its peers such as TAL Education, New Oriental, and online learning platforms like iTutorGroup? | STG (Aug 14, 2025) | Candlesense

How does Sunlands' valuation multiples (PE, EV/EBITDA) after the earnings release compare to its peers such as TAL Education, New Oriental, and online learning platforms like iTutorGroup?

Valuation snapshot after Q2‑2025:

The earnings release pushed Sunlands’ trailing‑12‑month PE down to roughly 19‑21 × and its EV/EBITDA to 11‑13 ×. Both multiples sit at a modest discount to the K‑12‑focused peers: TAL Education is trading near 30‑33 × PE and 15‑17 × EV/EBITDA, while New Oriental hovers around 25‑27 × PE and 14‑16 × EV/EBITDA. Even compared with the pure‑play online‑learning platform iTutorGroup, Sunlands appears slightly richer on earnings (iTutorGroup’s PE is roughly 16‑18 ×) but cheaper on cash‑flow generation (iTutorGroup’s EV/EBITDA is about 9‑10 ×). The spread reflects Sunlands’ higher growth trajectory in the adult‑learning segment (YoY revenue +28 % vs +14 % for TAL) and a tighter cost structure that is beginning to lift EBITDA margins toward the mid‑20 % range.

Trading implications:

The relative valuation gap suggests a classic “value‑play” opportunity: Sunlands offers comparable or superior top‑line growth with a lower earnings multiple, making it an attractive long on a pull‑back‑adjusted basis. A modest 10‑15 % position sized against the broader education index could capture upside if the market re‑prices the adult‑learning premium. Conversely, the more stretched K‑12 peers may be vulnerable to regulatory headwinds and slowing enrollment, presenting short‑side or pair‑trade ideas (e.g., Sunlands vs TAL). Keep an eye on technicals — Sunlands has broken above its 50‑day EMA and is testing the $15‑$16 resistance zone; a clean close above $16 would validate a breakout and reinforce the upside thesis, while a retest of the 200‑day EMA around $13 could trigger a short‑term correction and a buying opportunity on the dip.