What is the anticipated impact on liquidity and trading volume for both Scilex and Denaliâs securities after the merger?
The SECâs declaration that the FormâŻSâ4 registration is effective clears the path for Denali Capital Acquisition Corp. (OTC:âŻDNQAF) to merge with SemnurâŻPharmaceuticals, a majorityâowned subsidiary of Scilex Holding Co. (NasdaqâŻSCLX). When the business combination closes, Denaliâs SPâstock will be converted into ordinary shares of Scilex and the Denali ticker will be retired. This conversion will instantly expand Scilexâs public float and inject a sizable new pool of tradable shares, generating a pronounced shortâterm surge in daily volume. Historically, SPACâtoâoperatingâcompany conversions produce a âvolume bumpâ as former SPâholders scramble to either redeem their units or roll them into the surviving equity; the same dynamic will apply here, with Denaliâs OTCâtraded shares likely seeing a oneâtoâtwoâday âredemptionâtoâconversionâ wave before the combined entity settles on the Nasdaq.
From a liquidity standpoint, Scilex will benefit from a deeper orderâbook and tighter bidâask spreads as market makers absorb the influx of shares, while the removal of the OTC Denali ticker will concentrate all trading activity on SCLX. In the immediate postâclosing window, expect heightened volatility and a volumeâdriven price swingâtypically a 30â50âŻ% increase in average daily volume relative to the preâmerger baseline. Traders can exploit this by positioning on the pullâback after the initial volumeâdriven rally, while keeping an eye on redemption rates (which can temporarily depress the share count) and any âlockâupâ constraints on insiders that might throttle supply. In short, the merger will markedly improve both the liquidity and trading volume of Scilexâs securities, and the former Denali shares will experience a brief, highâvolume conversion phase before fully merging into Scilexâs Nasdaqâlisted market.