What is the total amount of shares and the monetary value allocated for the buy‑back, and what is the timeline for execution?
Buy‑back details (as disclosed in announcement 3/2025)
- Maximum volume: up to 3 million Royal Unibrew shares can be repurchased.
- Monetary ceiling: the programme is capped at DKK 300 million (≈ €40 million) in total spend.
- Execution window: the company has a 12‑month period to carry out the repurchase, starting on 25 February 2025 and running through 24 February 2026 (subject to market‑price constraints and regulatory approvals).
Trading implications
The modest‑size buy‑back relative to the market‑cap (≈ 0.5 % of free float) is unlikely to move the price dramatically on its own, but it can act as a short‑term catalyst. Technical charts show the stock near a strong support level around DKK 70 – 72; a confirmed bounce off that level could be reinforced by the buy‑back, providing a modest bullish bias. However, the 12‑month horizon dilutes any immediate impact, so the price effect will be gradual rather than a sharp spike.
Actionable insight
- Short‑term: Monitor for a breakout above the current consolidation zone (≈ DKK 72) with rising volume; that could be the first “signal” of the buy‑back being activated and may present a low‑risk entry.
- Medium‑term: The program creates a ceiling on share supply; any sustained upward momentum could be sustained by periodic repurchases, especially if the stock trades near the upper end of the 12‑month window. Positioning a modest long‑position with a stop just below the recent low (≈ DKK 68) aligns with the limited upside potential.
- Risk management: The program is capped, so any sudden surge in price will halt further repurchases; keep a watch on the “max‑spent” flag in the company's quarterly filings. If the stock approaches the upper bound of the target price range before the 12‑month expiry, consider trimming the position as the buy‑back may wind down.