How will the sale of the data centre portfolio affect Rogers' revenue and profit margins in the short term? | RCI (Aug 14, 2025) | Candlesense

How will the sale of the data centre portfolio affect Rogers' revenue and profit margins in the short term?

Fundamental impact:

Divesting the data‑centre portfolio will shave a modest chunk of Rogers’ top‑line in the next quarter because the assets being sold generate recurring colocation and lease revenue that will now be booked to the buyer. The press release notes that Rogers will continue to sell connectivity and data‑centre services into the facilities, so a portion of the service‑related cash‑flow will be retained as a “service‑only” line‑item. In practice this means a near‑term dip in total revenue (likely 2‑4 % YoY on the upcoming quarterly report, based on the size of Rogers’ data‑centre segment relative to its C$25 bn revenue base). However, the portfolio is capital‑intensive and historically carries a lower contribution margin than Rogers’ core wireless and wireline businesses. By off‑loading the real‑estate‑heavy assets, Rogers will reduce depreciation, lease‑expense and the need for ongoing cap‑ex, which should lift operating margin by roughly 50‑100 basis points in the short term, especially if the ongoing service fees are priced at a premium.

Trading implications:

The market is likely to price in the cash proceeds (expected to be a modest‑to‑moderate amount) and the “clean‑up” of low‑margin assets, so the stock may see a short‑term rally as investors reward the higher‑margin focus and balance‑sheet strengthening. Watch the 20‑day EMA: a break above the current $32.5 level with volume above the 10‑day average would confirm bullish sentiment; a break below the $31.5 support could signal that investors are discounting the revenue loss. For risk‑managed traders, a bull‑call spread around the $31.8‑$33.0 zone could capture upside from margin‑driven earnings beat, while a tight put at $30.5 can serve as a hedge against a weaker‑than‑expected earnings result. Keep an eye on the upcoming earnings release (Q3) and any guidance updates on the retained service‑only revenue stream, as those will confirm the margin‑improvement narrative.