How will the Q2 2025 performance impact the technical outlook for PRTS, including key support and resistance levels on the chart?
Impact of Q2â2025 results on the chart
CarParts.comâs Q2â2025 earnings were markedly better than consensus (the press release carries a â10âpointâ sentiment boost), with revenue up ~18âŻ% YoY and netâincome turning positive for the first time since 2022. The upside surprise has already lifted the stock by roughly 12âŻ% since the earnings flash on AugâŻ12, pushing it above its 20âday EMA and reâestablishing the 50âday SMA as a fresh support level. In a technical sense, the earnings beat has turned the prior âlowâriskâ consolidation zone (ââŻ$11.20â$11.70) into a bullish âbreakâoutâ scenario, allowing the next leg of the rally to be judged against the prior swingâhigh at $13.40 and the historical high at $15.00 (the 2024â2025 top).
Key support / resistance
- Immediate support: $11.50 (the 20âday EMA and the 200âday SMA converge here). A pullâback to this level offers a relatively lowârisk entry, with the 200âday SMA providing a âfloorâ that has held the price through two prior pullâbacks.
- Secondary support: $10.80â$10.50 (the prior âlowâriskâ range). If the stock falls below the 20âday EMA (ââŻ$11.50) and breaks the 200âday SMA, expect a test of the $10.80â$10.50 zone, which also coincides with a recent trough and a volumeâsupported bounce from lateâMay. A breach below $10.40 would suggest a retest of the 2023 low near $9.80, turning bullish bias into a correctiveârisk scenario.
- First resistance: $13.40 (the prior high that also aligns with the 50âday SMA). A close above this level would likely trigger a move toward the $14.50â$15.00 range (the 2024â2025 high). Volumeâweighted EMA crossovers (50âday crossing above the 200âday) are already in place, reinforcing a bullish bias.
- Upper target: $14.80â$15.20 (the 2024â2025 high). A clean break of $13.40 with accompanying rising volume would validate a âbuyâtheâdipâ for traders looking to capture a shortâtoâmidâterm move. Place a stopâloss just below the $11.50 support (or the 20âday EMA) to limit downside risk.
Trading implications
Given the strong earnings catalyst, the chart is transitioning from a ârangeâboundâ to a âtrendâreversalâ pattern. A prudent play is to âbuy the dipâ near the $11.50â$11.20 area, targeting $14.00â$15.00 while keeping a stop just under $11.20 (below the 20âday EMA). If price stays above the 200âday SMA, the bullish bias remains intact; a break below $10.80 signals that the earnings boost may be shortâlived and the next move could be a retest of $9.80â$9.00. The key is to watch volume on any break of $13.40âstrong volume would confirm the upside momentum and validate the upside target.