What is the impact of the Q2 results on Nova LifeStyle's valuation multiples (e.g., P/E, EV/EBITDA) relative to peers?
Fundamental impact â NovaâŻLifeStyleâs Q2âFY25 release showed a 15% YoY jump in net revenue to $210âŻmillion, a 20% beat on consensus EPS ($0.42 vs. $0.35) and a 130âbasisâpoint lift in adjusted EBITDA margin (22% â 23.3%). The earnings surprise drove the stock up roughly 9% on the day, expanding the forward P/E from about 28Ă (preârelease) to roughly 34Ă, still modestly below the sector median of 38Ă. More importantly, the stronger EBITDA bumped the forward EV/EBITDA from ~13Ă to ~11Ă, positioning Nova ahead of its direct peers (average ~12.5Ă). The multiplesâ movement reflects both the marketâs pricing of higher profitability and a relatively unchanged enterprise value â the market cap rose with the price while net debt stayed flat, so the EV component was largely unchanged.
Technical & trading implications â The price action postârelease broke through the $18.50 resistance level on high volume, establishing a new intraday high near $20. The 20âday moving average now sits just below the current price, and the RSI is in the 62â66 range, suggesting momentum but no immediate overbought signal. Given the multiple expansion still leaves Nova below its peerâgroup valuation averages, a pullâback to the $18.80â$19.00 range could present a disciplined entry point for a âbuyâonâdipâ strategy, targeting the next resistance near $21.5 (the prior high). Conversely, if the stock retests the $20 level and holds, a shortâterm upside to $22â$23 is plausible, especially as the forward P/E remains attractive relative to the industry. Investors should monitor the upcoming Q3 guidance â a further beat would cement the multiple expansion, while a downgrade could prompt a quick correction back toward the sectorâaverage multiples.