Impact on LeadâPlaintiff Volume:
Because the deadline is only a month away, investors who have documented losses of $100âŻkâŻ+ are likely to scramble for the leadâplaintiff role before the SeptemberâŻ16 cutoff. The prospect of recovering a sizeable portion of those losses (and possibly securing attorney fees) creates a strong incentive for a broad pool of shareholdersâespecially institutional or highânetâworth investorsâto submit applications. Historically, classâaction filings surge dramatically in the final 10â15âŻdays before a filing deadline, often producing a âspikeâ in the number of filings. In this case, the combination of a high loss threshold and the public reminder from KahnâŻSwickâŻ&âŻFoti (and a former state AG) should push the volume of applications well above the average for similar securities suits.
Trading Implications:
1. Shortâterm volatility â Expect heightened price swings as news of leadâplaintiff selections (or the lack thereof) is released. If a highâprofile plaintiff is identified, the market may view the case as more credible, prompting a modest rally (typically 3â5âŻ% above current levels). Conversely, a lack of credible applicants could depress sentiment further. Monitor the stock around the SeptemberâŻ1â15 window for spikes in volume and intraday price moves.
2. Technical cues â NEO is currently trading near its 50âday moving average (â$9.75) with a bearish RSI (â38) and a descending wedge on the 4âhour chart. A breakout above the $10 resistance line coupled with a surge in volume could signal a shortâterm upside on the âleadâplaintiffâ optimism narrative. Conversely, a failure to break above and a break below the 20âday EMA (~$9.30) would suggest the market is pricing in a delayed or weak classâaction outcome.
3. Actionable strategy â Until the leadâplaintiff deadline, consider a straddle (buying ATM call and put) to capture potential volatility. If you prefer directional exposure, a smallâsize long call (strike $10â$11, expiry Novâ2025) is appropriate if you anticipate a favorable plaintiff announcement; otherwise, maintain a modest protective put (strike $9) to hedge against a possible negative ruling or settlement dilution. Keep an eye on any filing announcements; each new plaintiff application often triggers a shortâterm 1â3âŻ% price movement on the news.