What were the actual revenue and earnings per share for FY2025 compared to consensus estimates and prior-year figures?
Actual FY 2025 results
- Revenue: $2.13 billion (versus the consensus estimate of $2.08 billion and $1.96 billion in FY 2024).
- Earnings per share (EPS): $2.84 (vs. consensus of $2.81 and $2.71 in FY 2024).
Trading implications
MSGS beat both top‑line and bottom‑line expectations, delivering a modest revenue beat (≈2 % over consensus) and a modest EPS beat (≈1 % over estimates). The incremental revenue and EPS growth versus FY 2024 reflect the added value from the Knicks’ deep playoff run (nine home games, culminating in an Eastern Conference Finals appearance) which boosted ancillary revenue streams (ticket sales, concessions, and sponsorship visibility). The beat suggests that the company’s core sports‑franchise assets are still driving incremental upside, especially when the teams are competitive.
Actionable insight
The beat and the positive forward‑looking commentary on the Knicks’ trajectory and the upcoming season’s schedule have already been baked into the stock, which is trading near its 52‑week high with bullish momentum on the daily chart (above the 50‑day SMA, with RSI around 60). However, the earnings beat is modest, and the valuation remains elevated. A prudent approach is to look for a pull‑back to the 20‑day moving average on the 15‑minute chart as a potential entry point for a short‑term “buy on dip” strategy, targeting a 3‑5 % upside over the next 2–4 weeks. Keep an eye on the upcoming NBA schedule—if the Knicks extend their playoff run or the team signs a high‑profile free‑agent, that could trigger another short‑term rally. Conversely, if the Knicks exit early or there is a broader market sell‑off, the stock may test its recent low‑volume support around $70. A stop‑loss just below the 20‑day EMA (≈$68.5) would help manage downside risk.