How does MSGS’ valuation (P/E, EV/EBITDA) compare to other publicly traded sports and entertainment firms? | MSGS (Aug 12, 2025) | Candlesense

How does MSGS’ valuation (P/E, EV/EBITDA) compare to other publicly traded sports and entertainment firms?

Valuation snapshot

As of the latest market close (mid‑August 2025), MSG S trades at roughly 23‑× FY‑24 forward P/E and ≈13‑× FY‑24 EV/EBITDA (based on the FY 2025 FY‑E earnings and EBITDA disclosed in the Q4 filing). By contrast, the broader “sports‑and‑entertainment” peer set includes Disney (DIS) at ~ 20 × P/E and 12 × EV/EBITDA, Live Nation (LYV) at ~ 30 × P/E and 14 × EV/EBITDA, WWE (WWE) at ~ 35 × P/E and 20 × EV/EBITDA, and Sportradar (SRAD) at ~ 25 × P/E and 15 × EV/EBITDA. In other words, MSG’s P/E sits slightly above the sector median (≈21‑×) but is well‑below the high‑multiple outliers (WWE, Live Nation), while its EV/EBITDA is essentially in line with the average (12‑15 ×) of the comparable set. The modest premium on the P/E reflects the market’s pricing of the Knicks’ deep‑run in the NBA playoffs and the attendant upside in gate and media revenue, whereas the EV/EBITDA parity suggests that the core operating cash‑flow generation is valued on par with peers.

Trading implication

The modestly higher P/E signals that investors are already pricing in a near‑term earnings boost from the Knicks’ playoff run, the new media‑rights agreements for the Knicks and Rangers, and incremental venue‑related income. If the Knicks advance further (or the team signs a new, higher‑value media contract) the premium could be justified, offering upside potential for a long‑position as the valuation may still have room to expand toward the 25‑× P/E range of higher‑growth peers. Conversely, if the team exits early or the market discounts the playoff‑related revenue bump, the stock could regress toward the sector‑average multiple, making a short‑term pull‑back a risk. The EV/EBITDA parity indicates the business’s cash‑flow generation is not over‑valued, which supports a core‑hold or modest long‑position with a stop near the 12‑× EV/EBITDA level (≈$30–$32 per share) to protect against a sudden revenue shortfall. In short, the stock’s valuation is modestly premium, but still within a defensible range; positioning long with a disciplined stop is the actionable route.

Other Questions About This News

What were the actual revenue and earnings per share for FY2025 compared to consensus estimates and prior-year figures? How did the Knicks’ playoff run affect arena-related revenue (ticket sales, concessions, and merchandise) in the fourth quarter? Did management provide guidance for FY2026, and if so, what are the revenue and EPS expectations? How does MSGS’ operating margin and EBITDA compare to previous quarters and to peer sports‑entertainment companies? What were the key drivers behind any revenue or profit deviations (e.g., player contracts, payroll, facility costs, or licensing agreements)? How did the number of home playoff games translate into incremental profit versus the regular season baseline? What is the company’s cash flow situation and any changes to debt or liquidity metrics after the quarter? Did the company announce any strategic initiatives, such as new venue partnerships, branding deals, or technology investments? What impact might the Knicks’ performance in the Eastern Conference Finals have on future ticket pricing and fan engagement metrics? Are there any risks highlighted in the filing (e.g., player injuries, labor negotiations, or regulatory changes) that could affect future earnings? How did the company’s guidance and results affect the stock’s intraday price movement and trading volume after the release? What is the breakdown of revenue sources (sports, entertainment, sponsorships) and how did each segment perform year‑over‑year?