How does this new benchmark compare to existing blended publicâprivate indices in terms of methodology, tracking error, and suitability for hedging or longâshort strategies?
MethodologyâŻvs. existing blended indices â The Modern MarketâŻ100 is built on a âpublicâfirstâ universe (the 100 largest U.S. publiclyâtraded companies by marketâcap) that is then augmented with privateâequityâstyle weightings derived from PitchBookâs quarterly valuations of comparable privateâmarket companies. Unlike traditional blended benchmarks such as the Cambridge Associates Private Markets Index or MSCIâs PrivateâMarketâAdjusted indices, which backâfill privateâmarket exposure by allocating a fixed âprivateâcapâ slice or by using proxyâcompany multiples, Morningstar applies a continuous, ruleâbased overlay that reâweights each constituent every quarter to reflect the latest privateâdeal flow, exit multiples and fundâsize data. The index also retains a fullâfreeâfloat, liquidityâscreened weighting for the public leg, meaning it can be replicated with ETFs or futures, while the private leg is represented by a basket of liquid listed proxies that track the underlying private valuations.
Tracking error â Because the public component is priced continuously and the private overlay is updated quarterly (instead of the semiâannual or annual refreshes common to many blended indices), the Modern MarketâŻ100 delivers a lower overall tracking error for investable productsâtypically in the 30â50âŻbps range for the composite versus 70â120âŻbps seen in older hybrid benchmarks. The main source of residual TE remains the lag in privateâmarket pricing and the proxyâbias inherent in using listed equivalents, but Morningstarâs âvaluationâgapâ adjustment (smoothing privateâmarket NAV changes over the quarter) trims the volatility that otherwise spikes TE during dealâflow shocks.
Suitability for hedging or longâshort strategies â The indexâs transparent, quarterlyârebalanced construction and liquid public core make it an effective hedging vehicle for managers who need a single reference point for both public and private exposure. Totalâreturn swaps or futures on the Modern MarketâŻ100 can be used to hedge a fundâs aggregate market beta while preserving the privateâequity tilt. For longâshort plays, the indexâs clear decomposition (public vs. private overlay) lets traders short the public leg when public valuations are overâinflated relative to the privateâmarketâadjusted weighting, or go long the private overlay when privateâdeal multiples are expanding. Compared with older blended indices that suffer from opaque proxy selections and higher TE, the Modern MarketâŻ100 offers tighter riskâcontrol and a more actionable signal for both passive benchmarking and active longâshort allocation.