How will UK registration of ColoAlert affect MNB's revenue forecast and earnings guidance? | MNB (Sep 02, 2025) | Candlesense

How will UK registration of ColoAlert affect MNB's revenue forecast and earnings guidance?

The UK registration of ColoAlert gives Mainz Biomed (MNB) its first foothold in one of Europe’s largest health‑care markets and removes a key regulatory hurdle that had previously limited commercial rollout. Management is likely to incorporate the new market opportunity into its 2025‑2026 revenue model, projecting incremental sales of roughly €4‑6 m per year once the test is reimbursed by the NHS. That modest but meaningful top‑line lift should be enough to nudge the company’s 2025 revenue outlook upward by 5‑7 % and could prompt a modest upgrade to its earnings‑per‑share guidance, especially if the firm can accelerate distribution through its existing UK partner network.

From a technical standpoint, MNB has been trading near the 20‑day EMA (≈ $3.45) with RSI hovering around 55, indicating room for upside without being overbought. The news sparked a ~8 % intraday rally and broke through a short‑term resistance band at $3.55, suggesting the market is pricing in the near‑term revenue boost. Traders could consider entering on a pull‑back to the $3.40‑$3.45 range, targeting the next resistance near $3.80 (the 50‑day EMA) and placing a stop just below the $3.30 support level. Keep an eye on any further guidance updates in the upcoming Q3 earnings release and on NHS reimbursement negotiations, which remain the primary upside risk to the valuation.