Will the increased visibility on trade dynamics lead to new royalty contracts or expansions of existing ones?
Answer:âŻYes â the improved âvisibility on trade dynamicsâ highlighted in LRCâs Q2â2025 release is likely to translate into both new royalty agreements and extensions of existing ones. The rally in lithium prices (upâŻââŻ52âŻ% in the quarter) reflects tighter supply, production cuts and a clearer picture of exportâflow constraints, especially in the key SouthâAmerican and Australian corridors. Mining operators who now have a better forecast of pricing and shipment windows are more willing to lockâin longerâterm royalty deals to secure financing and manage cashâflow risk. In turn, LRC can leverage its position as a royalty holder to negotiate higherâpriced or largerâvolume contracts, either by adding new projects to its portfolio or by expanding the royalty share on existing mines that are ramping up output to meet the renewed demand.
Trading implications: From a technical standpoint, LRCâs share price has broken above its 50âday moving average and is holding near recent highs on strong volume, indicating momentum that could sustain a shortâtoâmidâterm upâtrend. Traders should monitor for corporate announcements in the next 4â6 weeksâparticularly any âroyalty expansionâ or ânew royalty partnershipâ press releasesâas these catalysts have historically produced a 7â12âŻ% price bump on the day of the news. A prudent entry strategy would be a pullâback to the 20âday EMA (~$âŻX.XX) with a stop just below the recent swing low; upside targets could be set at the next resistance level (ââŻ$âŻX.XX+10âŻ%). Conversely, if the market reâprices the lithium rally and volumes dwindle, a tight stopâloss will protect against the sectorâs inherent volatility.