What is the company's guidance for lithium price trends and production cuts going forward? | LIRC (Aug 14, 2025) | Candlesense

What is the company's guidance for lithium price trends and production cuts going forward?

Company Guidance

Lithium Royalty Corp. (LRC) acknowledges that lithium prices softened during Q2 2025, but it now expects a sustained upward price trajectory as the market moves into the second half of the year. The firm points to a 52 % price rally that has already begun—fuelled by “continued robust demand, production cuts, and better visibility on trade dynamics”—as the baseline for its forward‑looking outlook. In short, LRC is signalling that the recent price weakness is a short‑term correction, and the next price trend will be higher as supply‑side constraints tighten.

Implications for Production Cuts

LRC’s commentary also implies that ongoing production curtailments will remain a key catalyst. The “production cuts” referenced are not one‑off events but an ongoing, coordinated effort among major lithium miners to align output with the accelerating demand from EV manufacturers, battery‑grade applications, and energy‑storage projects. The company expects these cuts to persist through the remainder of 2025, providing a more disciplined supply curve and reinforcing price support.

Trading Take‑aways

  • Long‑biased positioning on LRC and related lithium‑exposure equities appears justified, given the company’s bullish price guidance and the supply‑tight backdrop.
  • Anticipate up‑trend continuation in lithium prices; a break above the recent 52 % rally level could trigger further upside and open the door for short‑term pull‑backs.
  • Monitor production‑cut announcements from peers (e.g., Albemarle, SQM) and EV‑policy developments, as any acceleration or reversal will directly impact LRC’s price trajectory and the broader lithium market.