Could this partnership open up additional opportunities with other allied nations beyond AUKUS, and how might that affect longâterm growth?
Fundamental outlook
Leidosâ newlyâearned AWS Trusted Secure Enclave (TSE) Vetted Partner status is a clear signal that the company is positioning itself as a goâto provider for crossâborder, cloudâbased defense and intelligence workloads. While the press release highlights AUKUS PillarâŻ2, the same secureâinformationâsharing framework can be sold to any âtrustedâ partner nation that relies on the U.S. defense ecosystemâthink NATO members, Japan, South Korea, and even emerging securityâcoâoperation partners in the IndoâPacific. Leidos already has a deepârooted footprint in the U.S. government and a growing commercial cyberâservices pipeline; extending the AWSâenabled enclave to other allies should translate into multiâyear contracts, higher recurringârevenue ratios and a lift in its âInternational Servicesâ segment, which historically trades at a premium to domestic defense earnings. In the longârun, this expands the companyâs addressable market beyond the $30âŻbn U.S. defense spend to a global cyberâdefense market that is projected to grow at 9â10âŻ% CAGR through 2035, providing a solid tailâwind for earnings growth and margin expansion.
Technical & trading implications
Leidos (LDOS) has been in a tight range of $340â$380 for the past three months, holding above its 200âday moving average (~$335) and forming a bullish higherâhigh, higherâlow pattern on the weekly chart. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering around 55, indicating room for upside without immediate overbought pressure. Volume has been above its 30âday average on each upward move, suggesting institutional interest. Assuming the partnership catalyzes at least one new multiâyear contract outside AUKUS in the next 6â12âŻmonths, a breakout above $380 could trigger a shortâterm rally toward $410â$425 (ââŻ20âŻ% upside from current levels). A prudent entry point would be a pullâback to $360â$365 with a stop just below $340 (the 200âday MA) to protect against a broader defenseâbudget pullâback risk.
Actionable insight
Given the strong fundamentals, the expanding international pipeline, and a technically sound price structure, the consensus tilt is buy on modest dips with a mediumâterm horizon (12â18âŻmonths). The upside potential from new allied contracts should underpin a sustainable earnings trajectory, while the current price still offers a margin of safety for riskâaverse investors. If the stock breaks above $380 on volume, consider adding to positions; if it falls back toward $340, a stopâloss placement would still keep the trade within a defensible riskâreward envelope.