How will the 1.2% month‑over‑month AUM growth affect Invesco’s share price in the short term? | IVZ (Aug 11, 2025) | Candlesense

How will the 1.2% month‑over‑month AUM growth affect Invesco’s share price in the short term?

Fundamental view: A 1.2 % month‑over‑month rise in AUM to $2.02 trn, backed by net long‑term inflows of $5.8 bn, signals that Invesco is still attracting capital in a competitive asset‑management landscape. The positive sentiment score (65) and the “net long‑term inflows” headline are both above the market’s baseline expectations for a mid‑cap manager, so the data should be viewed as a modest but fresh catalyst that can lift the stock in the next few trading sessions.

Technical & market dynamics: Invesco’s shares have been hovering near a short‑term pivot point around the 30‑day moving average (≈ $30.20) and have recently found support at the $30.00‑$30.25 range. The AUM beat is likely to generate a short‑covering rally, pushing the price toward the next resistance level near $31.00. On‑balance volume (OBV) has been flat, so a burst of buying on the news would be reflected in a rising OBV and a bullish MACD crossover, confirming momentum. However, the broader market is still sensitive to the Fed’s rate‑path outlook; a risk‑off move could cap the upside.

Actionable insight: In the short term (1‑2 weeks) the AUM growth should act as a positive price catalyst. A light‑to‑moderate long position around the current price (≈ $30.30) with a stop‑loss just below the $30.00 support offers a reasonable risk‑reward profile. If the stock breaks above $31.00 on strong volume, consider scaling in; if it stalls at $30.50, take partial profits. Conversely, a breach below $30.00 would suggest the market is discounting the inflow news and may warrant a defensive exit.