How will the market react to the dualâclass structure (Class A shares and warrants) and what is the expected demand for each component?
Market reaction to the dualâclass structure
The HVMC IPO is a classic âshareâplusâwarrantâ offering: each $10 unit contains one ClassâŻA ordinary share and œ of a redeemable warrant that can be exercised at $11.50 for a full share. When the components separate, the market will treat the two securities very differently. The ClassâŻA shares will trade on a âpureâplayâ basis, reflecting the companyâs fundamentals (cashâflow, SPAC pipeline, nearâterm deâSPAC target). Because the shares are already priced at $10 and the warrantâexercise price is $11.50, the equity side is likely to stay near the $10â$10.5 range until the warrantsâ expiry date (typically 18â24âŻmonths) when the upside premium is priced in. Any upside beyond $11.50 will be captured by the warrant, so the share price will be anchored by the underlying valuation and will not be bid up by speculative demand.
Demand dynamics for the warrants
Warrants are essentially a leveraged bet on the same equity, and they will attract a distinct set of participants: speculators, optionâmarket makers, and investors seeking a cheap exposure to upside. Because each whole warrant gives the right to buy one share at $11.50, the intrinsic value is max(0,âŻ$HVMCâŻââŻ$11.50). With the share expected to open around $10, the warrant will be outâofâtheâmoney at issuance, but the market will price in the probability of a future reârating, SPAC deâmerger upside, or a broader market rally that could push HVMC above $11.50 before expiry. Historically, similar SPACâwarrant structures see a highâbeta demand: the warrantâs implied volatility is 2â3Ă that of the underlying share, and daily volume on the warrant ticker (HVMCW) can be 30â50âŻ% of the shareâs volume in the first weeks after separation.
Trading implications
- Shortâterm: Expect the ClassâŻA share to trade in a tight range (ââŻ$10â$10.5) with modest liquidity. The warrant will open with a wider bidâask spread and higher turnover as traders price in upside potential.
- Longâterm: If the SPAC pipeline or deâSPAC transaction delivers a valuation >âŻ$11.50, the warrant will experience a rapid price surge, outâperforming the share by 150â300âŻ% on a relative basis. Positioning a modest longâwarrant (or buying HVMCW outright) now can capture that upside, while keeping a core position in HVMC for dividendâorâcashâflow exposure.
- Risk management: Because the warrant is a leveraged instrument, set tighter stopâlosses (ââŻ10âŻ% of the warrant price) and monitor the shareâs price action; a breach above $11.50 is the primary catalyst for warrantâprice appreciation.
In short, the market will treat the two components separately: steady, valuationâdriven demand for the ClassâŻA shares and speculative, highâbeta demand for the warrants. A balanced strategyâcore exposure in HVMC with a small, directional long position in HVMCWâcaptures upside while limiting downside.