What management is likely to cover at the investorâconference presentations
Below is a detailed,âŻâwhatâmightâbeâdiscussedââŻoutline of the guidance and financial updates that ViâViantâs senior team is expected to provide during the Oppenheimer, Canaccord Genuity and Cannonball Research investor events. The outline is based on the companyâs current business model, recent earnings trends, and the typical content of such conference calls. No specific figures have been announced in the press release, so the points below are anticipated topics rather than confirmed numbers.
1. MacroâLevel Guidance (Fiscal 2025â2026)
Area | Expected Content | Why itâs likely to be included |
---|---|---|
Revenue outlook | ⢠Fullâyear 2025 revenue range (e.g., $350â$380âŻM). ⢠FYâ2026 revenue target (e.g., $400â$440âŻM). |
ViâViant is in a highâgrowth CTV & AIâdriven programmatic ad market. Investors want to know the topâline trajectory. |
GAAP vs. Adjusted (NonâGAAP) earnings | ⢠FYâ2025 Adjusted EBITDA margin (target 10â12âŻ% vs. FYâ2024 ~8âŻ%). ⢠GAAP EPS guidance (e.g., $0.65â$0.75) vs. Adjusted EPS (e.g., $0.85â$0.95). |
Investors differentiate âcoreâ profitability from oneâtime items (e.g., stockâbased compensation, acquisition costs). |
Subscriber/Platform Metrics | ⢠Connected TV (CTV) inventory growth (e.g., +15âŻ% YoY in premium inventory). ⢠AIâdriven automation adoption (e.g., 30âŻ% of inventory sold via AI). |
Provides a tangible proxy for future revenue and demonstrates technology differentiation. |
Guidance horizon | ⢠Quarterly updates (Q3â2025, Q4â2025) with âmidâyearâ checkâpoint. ⢠Longâterm âStrategic Outlookâ (5âyear plan) with revenue, EBITDA, and cashâflow targets. |
Investors at conferences often want a shortâterm and longâterm roadmap. |
Profitâability milestones | ⢠Target to achieve GAAP profitability in FYâ2025/2026 if not already (e.g., âWe expect to be cashâflow positive by Q3â2025â). | Cashâflow generation is a key metric for a Nasdaqâlisted growth company. |
Cashâflow & balance sheet | ⢠Cash balance (e.g., $120â$140âŻM) and available liquidity. ⢠Debt (if any) and net cash position. ⢠Expected free cash flow conversion rate (e.g., 35âŻ%). |
Provides investors reassurance about liquidity and ability to fund growth. |
Capital allocation | ⢠R&D spending (percentage of revenue, e.g., 12â15âŻ%); ⢠M&A pipeline (potential acquisition of dataâoriented assets or AI platforms). ⢠Share buyâback or dividend plans (if any). |
Investors want to know where the company will invest to sustain growth. |
2. Operational & BusinessâSpecific Updates
Topic | Likely Details |
---|---|
Programmatic advertising performance | ⢠eCPM trends (e.g., 6â8âŻ% increase YoY). ⢠Fill rate and inventory utilization. |
AIâdriven platform enhancements | ⢠New AIâoptimised bidding and realâtime personalization capabilities. ⢠Machineâlearning model accuracy improvements (e.g., 15âŻ% lift in conversion). |
Client and partner wins | ⢠New brand partnerships (e.g., major media groups, OTT platforms). ⢠Strategic alliances with adâtech firms or data providers. |
Geographic expansion | ⢠International rollout (e.g., Europe, LATAM). ⢠Localized CTV inventory in new markets. |
Regulatory / privacy | ⢠Updates on privacyâcompliant data practices (e.g., compliance with EUâCMA, USâCMA). ⢠Impact of any upcoming regulation (e.g., âCA privacy lawâ) on revenue. |
Product roadmap | ⢠Upcoming product releases: new UI/ dashboard, realâtime reporting, AIâdriven insights. ⢠Beta programmes and adoption timeline. |
Operational efficiency | ⢠Costâofârevenue reduction initiatives (e.g., automation of adâops). ⢠Margin improvement plan (targeting 1â2âŻ% incremental margin). |
3. Guidance on Key Growth Drivers
Growth Driver | Expected Commentary |
---|---|
CTV adoption | âUS CTV households now at 80âŻ% of all households. We expect the addressable market to grow 10â12âŻ% annually for the next three years.â |
AIâenabled automation | âOur AIâdriven buying platform is now powering >30âŻ% of all transactions, delivering 15â20âŻ% higher ROI for advertisers.â |
Programmatic TV share | âProgrammatic TV spend is expected to exceed $30âŻB by 2027. ViâViantâs goal is to capture a larger share of that market through our AIâbased platform.â |
Revenue per user (RPU) | âRPU is expected to grow 8â10âŻ% YoY due to higherâvalue premium inventory and AIâenhanced targeting.â |
Market share | âWe now hold ~4â5âŻ% of the US CTV programmatic market. Target is 6â8âŻ% by endâ2026.â |
4. Q&AâStyle Expectations (What analysts typically ask)
- Revenue vs. Guideline Variance â âWhat would cause us to deviate from the $350â$380âŻM range?â (e.g., macroâeconomy, adâspend slowdown).
- Impact of AI â âHow much incremental revenue can AIâbased buying deliver vs. traditional manual buying?â
- Competitive Landscape â âHow do you compare with other CTV programmatic platforms in terms of margin and growth?â
- Capital Expenditure â âWill we see higher capex for data centers/AI compute?â
- M&A Strategy â âAny specific target in data/analytics space that would accelerate growth?â
5. Why this guidance matters to investors
Reason | Detail |
---|---|
Revenue confidence | Investors gauge whether the company can meet or exceed its growth trajectory. |
Profitability path | Clear GAAP/adjusted EPS targets and cashâflow guidance show the path to sustainable profitability. |
Liquidity | Current cash and free cashâflow guidance reassure stakeholders of sufficient runway. |
Strategic direction | AIâdriven programmatic advertising is a highâgrowth, highâmargin segment; guidance around it demonstrates differentiation. |
Risk mitigation | Disclosure of risk factors (e.g., privacy regulations, adâspending volatility) helps set realistic expectations. |
Valuation impact | Guidance drives the marketâs valuation multiple (e.g., EV/Revenue, EV/EBITDA). |
BottomâLine Summary
- No concrete numbers are disclosed in the BusinessâWire release; therefore, management will most likely provide forwardâlooking guidance for FYâ2025 and FYâ2026 on revenue, adjusted/GAAP EPS, and margin targets.
- Operational updates are expected on CTV inventory growth, AIâpowered platform performance, client acquisitions, and geographic expansion.
- Financial updates will include cashâposition, freeâcashâflow outlook, capitalâallocation plans (R&D, acquisitions, possible shareholder return), and risk considerations (e.g., privacy regulation).
- The core narrative will be that ViâViant is scaling its CTV and AIâdriven programmatic advertising business, targeting higherâmargin revenue, improving cashâflow, and investing in technology and strategic partnerships to sustain growth and achieve profitability.
The above points constitute a comprehensive, reasoned forecast of the guidance and financial updates that ViâViantâs management is likely to present at the upcoming investor conferences.