What is the expected impact on earnings per share (EPS) and cash flow once the notes are issued?
Impact on EPS
Because the notes carry a 0âŻ% coupon, DigitalOcean will not incur any cashâinterest expense on the $550âŻmillion of debt. In the nearâterm this means the âinterestâexpenseâafterâtaxâ line in the income statement will stay essentially unchanged, so net incomeâand therefore earningsâperâshareâshould not be dragged down by the financing cost. However, the notes are convertible, so when (or if) holders elect to convert them into common stock the outstanding share count will rise. That future dilution will depress the EPS that investors actually receive. In other words, EPS is likely to hold steady or even tick up slightly now, but the upside is capped by the conversionâriskâdriven dilution that will pull the EPS down once the conversion window is triggered.
Impact on cash flow
The pricing of the $550âŻmillion notes injects a sizable cash inflow into DigitalOceanâs balance sheet immediately. With no periodic cashâinterest outlays, the net cashâflow impact is a pure boost to operatingâandâinvestment liquidity. Management can use the proceeds to fund growth initiatives, shore up working capital, or refinance higherâcost debt, all of which should improve freeâcashâflow generation in the coming quarters. The cashâflow statement will show a large financingâcashâinflow, and, absent a cashâinterest drag, the operating cash flow line will not be eroded by this financing.
Trading implications
- Shortâterm: The liquidity uplift is a positive catalystâexpect the stock to priceâin the stronger cashâposition and the removal of interest expense. A modest upside in the next 4â6âŻweeks is plausible, especially if the market perceives the capital raise as a runwayâextender for growth.
- Mediumâterm: Keep a close eye on the conversion terms (conversion price, trigger events, and any antiâdilution provisions). If the notes are likely to convert before 2030, the dilution risk will become a headâline factor for EPS and could cap upside or even trigger a pullâback.
- Actionable: Consider a longâposition now to capture the cashâflowâboost rally, but size the position with a stop that reflects the potential upsideâdownside from future dilution. Monitor the companyâs capitalâallocation updates and any hints about accelerating conversionâthose will be the key drivers of EPS trajectory and, ultimately, the stockâs valuation.