Conversion price
DigitalOceanâs 0.00âŻ% convertible senior notes dueâŻ2030 are priced to be convertible into common stock at $10.00 per share (the âconversion priceâ).
Comparison with the current market price
At the time of the announcement (midâAprilâŻ2024), DigitalOceanâs shares were trading around $9.5âŻââŻ9.7 on the NYâŻSE. The $10.00 conversion price therefore sits â5âŻ% above the prevailing market level. In other words, the notes are currently âoutâofâtheâmoneyâ for conversion â holders would only benefit from converting if the stock price climbs above the $10 threshold.
Trading implications
Nearâterm bias: Because the conversion price is higher than the market price, the notes behave more like straight debt for now. The 0âŻ% coupon means investors are essentially betting on upside potential; the market will price the notes based on the probability of the stock reaching $10 before 2030. With the stock still below that level, the notes will trade at a discount to par, offering a modest yield to maturity for those willing to hold the bond.
Upside catalyst: Any sustained rally that pushes DOCN above $10 (e.g., strong earnings, new cloudâservice wins, or a broader techâsector rally) would make conversion attractive, prompting bondâholders to convert and potentially create buying pressure on the equity. Traders can watch for breakouts above $10 on higherâthanâaverage volume as a signal that conversionâdriven demand may start to materialise.
Risk management: Until the stock clears the $10 barrier, the primary risk is the equityâs ability to appreciate. A shortâposition in the notes (or a longâposition in the stock with a stop near $9.5) could be used to profit from the spread if the market continues to discount the conversion feature. Conversely, a long position in the notes may be justified if you anticipate a mediumâterm rally that lifts the share price above $10, unlocking the conversion premium.
In short, the $10 conversion price is modestly above todayâs trading level, meaning the convertible notes are presently valued more for their debt component than for conversion potential. A clear upside move in DOCN toward or beyond $10 would be the key trigger for conversionâdriven equity demand and could present a shortâterm trading opportunity.