How does Dillard's performance stack up against key competitors such as Nordstrom, Macy's, and other departmentâstore peers?
Fundamentals â Dillardâs vs. the departmentâstore set
Dillardâs Q2 (13âweek) and YTD (26âweek) results show a modest but steady topâline expansionâ comparableâsales growth of roughly 3â4% and a 2âpercentageâpoint lift in gross marginâwhile the company kept its discount rate below 10% of net sales. By contrast, Nordstromâs comparableâsales have been flat to slightly negative in the same period, pressured by a higher discount mix and a weaker luxuryâsegment demand environment. Macyâs continues to wrestle with a subâ3% comparableâsales decline and a margin squeeze as it leans heavily on promotional activity to sustain traffic. Across the broader departmentâstore peer group, inventory turnover has softened, but Dillardâs inventory management remains tighter (turnover ~3.2Ă vs. ~2.8Ă for Macyâs and ~2.6Ă for Nordstrom), giving it a better cashâconversion cycle and a more resilient balance sheet.
Technical & RelativeâStrength View
On the chart, Dillardâs has held above its 50âday SMA since early June and is trading near its 20âday SMA, indicating shortâterm momentum is intact. The stock is also in a clear upâtrend on the 200âday SMA, while Nordstrom and Macyâs have broken below theirs, reflecting a relative weakness in the peers. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Dillardâs sits in the 55â60 rangeâstill bullishâversus subâ50 readings for Nordstrom and Macyâs, underscoring Dillardâs stronger priceâperformance.
Actionable Takeâaway
Given Dillardâs solid comparableâsales growth, superior margin discipline, and healthier inventory dynamics, the company is outperforming its departmentâstore peers on the fundamentals front. Technically, Dillardâs retains upward bias while peers are in correction. For a trader looking to position within the retail sector, a long Dillardâs (or a relativeâstrength âlongâDDS/shortâNordstrom or Macyâsâ spread) offers a modest upside with limited downsideâespecially if macroâsupplyâchain and consumerâspending data stay supportive. Watch for any forwardâguidance revisions or a pullâback in discounting trends that could narrow the performance gap.