What dilution effect will the issuance of 13,560,000 shares and warrants have on existing shareholders?
The offering will add 13,560,000 ClassâŻA ordinary shares to the float now, and the accompanying warrants could generate another 13,560,000 shares if fully exercised. In the worstâcase scenario the company could increase its share count by â27.1âŻmillion shares â essentially a âdoubleâdilutionâ because each existing share will be worth roughly oneâhalf of what it is today, all else equal.
For existing shareholders the immediate dilution is the 13.56âŻM new shares, which reduces their ownership percentage and spreads any existing earnings, cash, and book value over a larger base, lowering EPS and bookâperâshare. If the warrants are later exercised the dilution deepens, cutting the original stake further. This mechanical dilution normally creates a shortârun sellâoff; price normally trends lower by the amount of new supply (often 5â10âŻ% in comparable microâcap offerings) as the market reâprices the company with a larger share pool and a lower netâasset value per share.
Trading implication: Expect a modest, but noticeable, downward pressure on CJETâs price in the next 1â2âŻweeks as the market digests the added supply. If the capital raised ($8âŻmillion) is earmarked for growth projects that can improve margins or fund NEV expansion, the longerâterm fundamentals may be upgraded. Traders can consider a buyâtheâdip strategy once the initial dilutionââdriven sellâoff stabilisesâtargeting a 5â8âŻ% lower level than the preâoffering priceâwhile keeping a tight stop just above the new support, especially if volume remains thin and the technical picture shows the shareâprice still near the established swingâlow trend line.