Did the company provide any updated guidance for the full year 2025, and how does it compare to consensus estimates?
Guidance Update:âŻCentessa Pharmaceuticals did not issue an updated fullâyearâ2025 revenue or earnings outlook in its Q2â2025 results release. The companyâs press release and accompanying earnings commentary focus on the progress of its OX2Râagonist franchise and upcoming data readouts, but there is no mention of a revised 2025 revenue or EBITDA target. Consequently, investors have no new companyâspecific numbers to compare against Wall Street consensus.
Comparison to Consensus & Trading Implications:âŻBecause the company left its 2025 outlook unchanged (i.e., no guidance), the market will continue to price the stock based on the existing consensus forecastsâroughly $110âŻmillion in revenue for the year, with a +/-10% range, and a modest EPS estimate of $0.07â$0.09. In the absence of a guidance upgrade or downgrade, the stock is likely to trade within the range already priced by the market. Technical charts show the stock holding just above its 50âday moving average with moderate volume, suggesting that any surpriseâpositive or negativeâaround the upcoming data readouts could be the catalyst for a move. Traders should monitor the upcoming OX2R data releases (expected later this year). If the data are compelling, a shortâterm rally could develop, allowing a buyâonâdip or breakout strategy targeting the next resistance level (â$9.40). Conversely, if data disappoint, the stock may revert to its 200âday moving average and could be a candidate for a stopâloss near the 20âday low, as the lack of guidance leaves downside risk largely unchanged. In short, without new guidance, the stock remains fundamentally driven by the forthcoming clinical milestones rather than earnings guidance.