How will the results impact the stockâs valuation multiples (EV/Revenue, P/E) and relative valuation vs peers?
Impact on valuation multiples
Because the pressârelease only signals an upcoming earnings call and carries a very bullish sentiment score (10), the market will priceâin an expectation of âbeatâandâraiseâ results. If Braze delivers revenue and billings growth that exceeds consensus, the stockâs EV/Revenue will compress (EV stays roughly constant while the denominatorârevenueâgrows faster), and the forward P/E will also tighten as the trailingâ12âmonth earnings are upgraded. In other words, a strong Q2 will push the price higher while the expanding earnings base pulls the P/E down, leaving the EV/Rev ratio at a more attractive level than it has been in the past 12âmonths.
If the results simply meet expectations, the multiples will hold steady; a miss would cause the EV/Revenue and P/E to expand as the price is discounted while the revenue/earnings base stays flat. Given the âvery positiveâ sentiment, most investors will assume a beat, so the immediate reaction is likely a modest price rally that tightens the multiples.
Relative valuation vs peers
Braze trades in the same SaaSâengagement niche as companies such as HubSpot (HHâ), Twilio (now part of Segment), and Customer.io. The sector typically commands EV/Revenue in the 10â15Ă range and forward P/E in the 30â45Ă range, reflecting highâgrowth SaaS dynamics. If Brazeâs Q2 shows midâsingleâdigit to highâsingleâdigit YoY revenue growth and a grossâmargin expansion (both of which are the primary drivers for peers), its EV/Revenue will likely move toward the lower end of the peer band (e.g., 9â11Ă) while its forward P/E could settle in the 30â35Ă rangeâstill premium to the broader market but in line or slightly cheaper than the higherâgrowth peers. Conversely, a weaker beat would push Brazeâs multiples above the peer median, making it a relative overâpriced option.
Trading implication
- If you expect a beat: look for a shortâterm priceâmomentum breakout (technical support around the 20âday SMA, bullish volume) and consider a longâposition on any pullâback, banking on the nowâtighter multiples and upside relative to peers.
- If you anticipate a miss: the stock could see a sellâoff, widening EV/Revenue and P/E, making it a potential shortâorâsellâtheâhighârisk** play.
Overall, the marketâs bullish tilt suggests the multiples will likely tighten, positioning Braze at a more attractive valuation relative to its SaaS peersâan actionable buying signal on any postâearnings pullâback.