What technical indicators or price patterns could be impacted by the earnings release?

Earnings‑driven technical impact

When ALK (ALK B) releases its Q2‑2025 results, the most immediate technical effects will be on price‑volume dynamics and momentum‑based indicators. Historically, an earnings surprise—especially one that moves the sentiment score to the “high‑positive” end of the scale (sentiment 5)—triggers a sharp surge in trading volume. This volume spike can push the price through key moving‑average clusters (e.g., the 20‑day and 50‑day SMA/EMA). A break above the 20‑day EMA with accompanying high volume often validates a short‑term bullish bias and can trigger a MACD bullish crossover as the short‑term EMA (12) pulls ahead of the longer‑term EMA (26). Likewise, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) will likely jump toward the over‑bought zone (>70) if the earnings beat is strong, warning of a possible short‑term pull‑back.

Chart‑pattern considerations

Because the release is scheduled for the market‑open, any price move will be reflected in the opening bar and can seed the formation of classic breakout patterns—a flag, pennant, or even a “cup‑and‑handle” if the rally is sustained over a few days. If the price breaches a recent swing‑high resistance level (or a prior consolidation range) with the volume surge, the breakout can be confirmed by a Bollinger‑Band squeeze release: the bands contract during the pre‑announcement calm and then expand dramatically as the price erupts. Conversely, a miss or a weak result could trigger a downward break through the swing‑low, generating a bearish flag or a descending triangle, which would be flagged by a falling MACD histogram and a declining RSI (<30).

Actionable take‑aways

• Watch the 20‑day EMA and 50‑day EMA for a clean break; a close above both with volume >2× the 10‑day average is a bullish entry signal.
• Confirm momentum with MACD (bullish crossover) and RSI (watch for >70 to manage over‑bought risk).
• Monitor volatility (ATR, Bollinger Bands) for a widening range—use a tighter stop‑loss inside the pre‑announcement consolidation zone.
• If the price fails to hold the breakout, be ready to flip the bias and target the nearest swing‑low or the prior support line, as the same volume surge can fuel a rapid reversal.