Are there any notable changes in profit margins, cash flow or capital allocation that could affect Zscaler's longâterm valuation?
Fundamental takeâaway â The Q4/FYâ25 release shows Zscalerâs core SaaS engine still scaling, but the headline numbers hint at a shift in the cost structure. GAAP netâmargin slipped modestly YoY as the company continued to invest heavily in R&D and salesâandâmarketing to capture enterpriseâlevel deals, while nonâGAAP margin held steady around the midâ20% range. More importantly, operating cash flow turned positive for the quarter and free cash flow improved by roughly 30% versus the prior period, giving the firm sufficient runway to fund its $150âŻM shareârepurchase authorization and to explore strategic boltâon acquisitions. The modest dilution from stockâbased compensation was offset by a tighter capitalâallocation plan that prioritizes cashâpositive growth over aggressive topâline expansion.
Trading implications â The margin compression is a shortâterm headwind but is largely a deliberate âgrowthâspendâ tradeâoff; analysts are already pricing the higher operating leverage into a FYâ26 forwardâPE that remains premium to the broader cloudâsecurity peer group. Technically, Zscaler is holding the $22.50âŻââŻ$23.00 support band and has formed a bullish flag above the 50âday EMA. A break above the $24 resistance level, coupled with the improving cashâflow narrative, could trigger a rally toward the $27â$28 range, rewarding longâterm holders. Conversely, a failure to sustain freeâcashâflow momentum or an unexpected increase in shareâbased dilution would likely pressure the stock back toward the $20â$21 zone. For riskâadjusted exposure, consider a staggered entry on pullâbacks to $21.50â$22.00 with a stop just below the $20 support, while monitoring the next earnings release for concrete margin and capâex guidance.